With no NBA or NFL on the schedule this Tuesday, our sports betting options are down to hockey, college football and college basketball. Tonight’s college football games aren’t great, but they’re college football games, so we’re not going to pass them up. Let’s dig into today’s Ohio-Buffalo odds as we make our predictions and pick the best college football Week 11 bet for Tuesday’s MACtion! As always, make sure to check out OddsShopper’s bet shopping pages to ensure you get the best deal on the market.
Ohio-Buffalo Pick & Betting Prediction for Tuesday MACtion
Ohio-Buffalo Odds
Odds via bet365
Ohio: -275 | Buffalo: +225
Ohio -7: -110 | Buffalo +7: -110
Over 44: -110 | Under 44: -110
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Time: Tuesday, Nov. 7 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Ohio-Buffalo Pick & Prediction
The Ohio Bobcats and Buffalo Bulls feature two of the worst offenses in college football. Of course, this is a Mid-American Conference game, so that’s to be expected. But relative to their MAC peers, these offenses stink. Buffalo’s offense ranks a dismal 122nd in the Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI), third worst in the conference. Ohio ranks 92nd. Buffalo ranks 125th in yards per play (4.3), also tied for third worst in the conference. Ohio ranks 85th.
Tuesday’s Ohio-Buffalo contest shouldn’t yield many offensive fireworks. The Bulls are 5-4 to the under this season, but they are 5- to the under in MAC play. Meanwhile, the Bobcats are 6-2-1 to the under this year but are only 2-2-1 to the under in MAC play.
So what should we expect to see at UB Stadium tonight? Ohio quarterback Kurtis Rourke hasn’t looked as efficient as he did last year and is averaging just 7.1 yards per pass attempt and owns a passing efficiency grade of 132.7, down from the 9.2 and 167.7 he recorded in 2022. Ohio has opted to play slow-paced, complementary football because of its advantage on defense — the Bobcats rank 104th in seconds per play (28.2) and eighth in average time of possession (33:02).
Buffalo has had to play with a bit more tempo than Ohio, but it hasn’t often yielded points. The Bulls rank 51st in seconds per play (25.2) but just 88th in points per game (22.9). Like Rourke, quarterback Cole Snyder has regressed since last season. He is averaging 5.4 yards per pass attempt and a passing efficiency grade of 108.8. He has thrown five interceptions over the last three weeks with only two passing touchdowns and one rushing score.
Last year’s game between these teams yielded 69 points. The books are taking action on the total for this year’s contest at just 44, no doubt because of both sides’ regression on offense. But should we expect a bounce-back showing from them, or is the under the right play here? The FEI projects the total at just 25.9 points. Parker Fleming’s model lists it right at 44.6. I think we’ll need a defensive score to get over that number, so buy the under 44 wherever you can find it. You can currently do so at bet365, and if you’re a new customer there, you can get up to $1,000 in bonus bets by signing up here!
Ohio-Buffalo Pick & Prediction: Under 44 -110 at bet365
