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Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Pick: Rutgers-Miami Bet (Dec. 28)

After finishing the regular season 7-5, the Miami Hurricanes take on the 6-6 Rutgers Scarlet Knights as one point underdogs in a game with a 40.5-point total. Let’s dive into our Miami-Rutgers odds, pick and prediction for this year’s Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl. If you’re looking for more college football bets, check out our college football betting tools and our guide to betting on football.

Pinstripe Bowl Pick: Miami-Rutgers Bet

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Odds

Odds via bet365
Rutgers: -115 | Miami: -105
Rutgers -1.0: -110 | Miami +1.0: -110
Over 40.5: -110 | Under 40.5: -110
Expert: Matt Gajewski
Time:
Thursday, Dec. 28 at 2:15 p.m. ET

Miami-Rutgers News & Notes

Miami Absences: QB Tyler Van Dyke, QB Emory Williams, RB Don Chaney, WR Colbie Young, TE Jaleel Skinner, S Kamren Kinchens, S James Williams, Edge Jahfari Harvey, Edge Nyjalik Kelly, Edge Ahkeem Mesidor, Edge Chantz Williams, LB Corey Flagg

Miami Coaching Changes: N/A

Rutgers Absences: OT Kamar Missouri, OT Tyler Needham, LB Tyreem Powell

Rutgers Coaching Changes: N/A

Miami-Rutgers Comparison

MetricMiamiRutgers
Pace103rd126th
Overall Offense13th70th
Run Blocking29th61st
Pass Blocking10th108th
Pass Rate43rd122nd
Overall Defense26th30th
Run Defense19th63rd
Pass Rush17th57th
Coverage63rd18th

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Pick & Prediction

A battle of middling teams in their respective conferences, Rutgers takes on Miami in a game with a one point spread. Miami will have a number of starters out for this game due to the transfer portal and NFL preparations. This explains a microscopic total, along with a slow pace on both sides.

Starting with the Rutgers offense, this unit ranked 70th overall. They are led by Gavin Wimsatt, who completed just 47.8% of his passes for 6.0 yards per attempt, nine touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Wimsatt doesn’t have many weapons and the offensive line looks suspect with a 23.1% pressure rate allowed. Lead receiver Christian Dremel finished with just 440 yards, but Kyle Monangai did rush for 1,099 out of the backfield.

The Rutgers’ offense will face a tough matchup on paper against Miami’s 26th ranked defense. This unit did lose two safeties to NFL preparations in James Williams and Kamren Kinchens. They also lost three edge players in Jahfari Harvey, Nyjalik Kelly, and Ahkeem Mesidor to the portal/injury. With that said, this unit still has three strong corners, an elite linebacker in Francisco Mauigoa, and another strong edge in Rueben Bain. While this unit will be far from 100%, they still have 5-6 elite players capable of wrecking a game plan.

On the other side, Miami lost their top two quarterbacks Emory Williams and Tyler Van Dyke to the transfer portal and injury. This will put former four-star recruit Jacurri Brown in line to start. While Brown doesn’t have much of a sample, he proved an elite rusher in high school and will play behind a top 20 offensive line. He will also have top two receivers Xavier Restrepo and Jacobly George, who each eclipsed 850 receiving yards. If all else fails, Miami also has three capable backs in Henry Parrish Jr., Mark Feltcher Jr., and Ajay Allen to fall back on.

As for the Rutgers defense, this unit finished 30th in the country but struggled to defend the run at times. The Scarlet Knights finished 63rd against the run and 18th against the pass. This unit struggled down the stretch, allowing over five yards per carry to Maryland’s Roman Hemby, Penn State’s Nick Singleton, and Ohio State’s TreVeyon Henderson. Even Indiana eclipsed 5.0 yards per carry against this unit. With a generous number, Miami looks capable of winning this game, despite the departures.

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Pick & Prediction and our Rutgers-Miami Bet: Miami +1.0 (-110) at bet365

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Matt Gajewski

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