The Divisional Round is in the books, and it’s time for the Conference Championships. The NFL’s two No. 1 seeds, the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs, both advanced. They’ll face the No. 2 San Francisco 49ers and the No. 3 Cincinnati Bengals, respectively. Those looking for an edge should pay close attention to the NFL public betting splits to identify what bets the sharps are placing early in the week, and how to best fade the public. The 49ers-Eagles public betting splits may prove especially instructive.
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NFL Public Betting Splits | Conference Championships
49ers-Eagles Public Betting Splits: Sharps Backing the Under
The San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles boast a litany of elite offensive weapons. Brock Purdy has Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel to work with. Jalen Hurts has A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Miles Sanders. However, the sharps aren’t forgetting that both teams have great defenses — and inexperienced quarterbacks at the helm.
The total for Sunday’s first game sits at 46.5 across the market. Pregame reports that the under has drawn 76% of the cash but on only 57% of the tickets. VSiN, which tracks bets placed at DraftKings Sportsbook, reports that 62% of the handle has come in on the under on 61% of the tickets.
Bettors eager to tail the sharps should do so at DraftKings, where the total remains at 46.5. This number could get bid down further as limits increase before kickoff, so try to get your action down soon. New users at DraftKings can even secure $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager!
Verdict: Under 46.5 (-110) at DraftKings
Bengals-Chiefs Public Betting Splits: No Clear Edge in AFC Championship Game
The Kansas City Chiefs opened as 2.5-point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals. The injury news concerning Patrick Mahomes led this number to swing in Cincinnati’s direction — only to come sliding back toward Kansas City later in the week. The Chiefs are currently a 1-point favorite.
It’s hard to parse out the public betting splits for Sunday’s action because of the line movement. It’s likely that most of the wagers recorded came in on different numbers than the ones available now. The Bengals have attracted 77% of the handle on 75% of the tickets at DraftKings. Pregame reports that the Bengals have drawn only 58% of the cash on 72% of the tickets.
The market’s movement leads to a clear conclusion: the Bengals had value as a 2.5-point underdog but the Chiefs deserve to be favored. Unfortunately, the NFL public betting splits don’t lead to an actionable piece of betting advice — although bettors should feel free to tease either team down to a touchdown underdog.
Verdict: Pass or Tease
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