The heater continues for us! We’re on a 5-1 run on NFL player prop picks, and that includes a Josh Allen +200 anytime touchdown and Patrick Mahomes rushing yards prop I gave you FOR FREE yesterday. And if you follow me on Twitter, you also got this Twitter-only four-leg Dolphins-Eagles same game parlay that was an ASBOLUTE SMASH! We’re hot AF right now, and we’re keeping it rolling with tonight’s 49ers-Vikings same game parlay bet for Monday Night Football.
49ers-Vikings Same Game Parlay Bet for MNF
Alexander Mattison 2+ Receptions (Alt MNF Player Prop)
Let’s kick off the first of our five-leg 49ers-Vikings same game parlay with a bet that the OddsShopper NFL Player Prop Tool adores — Alexander Mattison two-plus receptions. The over 2.5 receptions line is projected to win 60% of the time, according to our tools. So getting this line at just two catches swings it even more in our favor. Mattison has reached this number in five of six games this season, including each of his last two games. The 49ers have yielded 7.5 targets per game to opposing running backs and have allowed 5.83 catches per game as well. With that pass rush, Kirk Cousins will likely need to use Mattison as a safety valve.
Kirk Cousins 1+ Passing TDs (Alt MNF Player Prop)
The primetime struggles of Cousins have been well documented. We’re not picking the star of nationwide Pizza Ranch commercials to be a world-beater tonight, we’re just looking for one passing touchdown. This is a number Cousins has eclipsed in every game this season, so we should be able to mark this one down as a win, despite facing a tough San Francisco defense.
George Kittle 3+ Receptions (Alt MNF Player Prop)
If you look at George Kittle‘s game logs, they can be a bit hit or miss. In six games this season, the San Fran tight end has recorded three catches in four of them. The Vikings allow the 11th-most receptions per game to tight ends (5.33). With the 49ers being a tad banged up entering tonight’s game — Deebo Samuel is out, Christian McCaffrey has an oblique issue — I think we should see an uptick in targets for Kittle. The OddsShopper Prop Tool was in love with the Kittle over 3.5 receptions prop earlier (which we HAMMERED), and the line has now moved to 4.5. That’s why OddsShopper Premium tools are worth their weight in gold … finding value early and often before the books can react.
Brandon Aiyuk OVER 4.5 Receptions (MNF Player Prop)
As we mentioned, the 49ers will be without the Swiss Army Knife Deebo Samuel, so Brandon Aiyuk should also see an increase in volume, much like Kittle. In fact, the expected win rate on this 0ver 4.5 receptions line is 61%, according to the player prop tool. That’s one of the highest expected win rates on the entire slate! Aiyuk has seen no fewer than six targets in every game, with a season-high 10 in Week 6 after Samuel left the game early with an injury. He’s the No. 1 option tonight against a Vikings defense that is giving up the most receptions per game to opposing wide receivers (16.67). With the prop tool being so confident, we’re never doubting it.
49ers -1.5 (Alt Spread)
The Vikings are truly atrocious. The two wins they’ve gotten this season have come against the woeful Chicago Bears and Carolina Panthers. That shouldn’t instill a lot of confidence in anyone. The 49ers-Vikings point spread is set at 49ers -7, which is probably right, even with all the injuries they’re dealing with. But let’s tinker with the line a bit just in case the 49ers don’t come out in a full blaze. Let’s take the -1.5 alternate spread and cover our bases here with some kind of backdoor cover from the Vikings.
Final 49ers-Vikings Same-Game Parlay Bet for Monday Night Football
Leg 1: Alexander Mattison 2+ Receptions (Alt MNF Player Prop)
Leg 2: Kirk Cousins 1+ Passing TDs (Alt MNF Player Prop)
Leg 3: George Kittle 3+ Catches (Alt MNF Player Prop)
Leg 4: Brandon Aiyuk o4.5 Receptions (MNF Player Prop)
Leg 5: 49ers -1.5 (Alternate Point Spread)
= +574 FanDuel Sportsbook w/ 50% Boost
Looking for more 2023 NFL predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NFL season. Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets. Don’t believe OddsShopper can grow your bankroll? Check out Greg Ehrenberg’s profitable weekend:
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— Greg Ehrenberg (@gehrenbergdfs) October 22, 2023
