Looking for the best Bears-Colts player prop for Sunday’s action? Our betting experts have you covered with this NFL expert pick. We’re targeting a Caleb Williams player prop bet. If you need help finding sharp bets on your own, check out our NFL player prop betting strategy guide!
Bears-Colts Player Prop Bet: Caleb Williams Prop!
Bears-Colts Player Prop: Best Caleb Williams Bet
Pick by Danny Burke. Find all of Danny’s expert picks now!
Caleb Williams has not lived up to the hype of the number one pick in the draft so far. Through two weeks, Chicago’s rookie quarterback has thrown 37 completions on 66 attempts (56%), two interceptions and no touchdowns. His trajectory will change this week.
Because of his poor performance on primetime TV, we’re seeing a shorter line than we should for this prop. The Colts rank 29th in Dropback EPA and 20th in Dropback Success Rate, while allowing the second-highest completion percentage in the league at 78.3%, with only the Giants faring worse.
Malik Willis even managed to complete 12-14 throws last week against the Colts. This matchup provides a great opportunity for Williams to pass efficiently and build confidence. While the Colts’ run defense is a weakness, the Bears’ inability to move the ball on the ground might be even worse. Additionally, the Colts are allowing fewer than 10 yards per completion, which could limit big downfield plays and help Williams maintain consistent completions.
Williams still managed to complete 23 passes on Sunday night against the Texans, despite having minimal time in the pocket. Another week of preparation and experience should benefit him, along with facing an Indianapolis defensive line dealing with injuries.
Look for Williams and this Bears offense to bounce back after a pair of underwhelming performances.
Best NFL Week 3 Player Prop Pick: Caleb Williams Over 19.5 Completions (-118) BetRivers
