Heading into the NFL Playoffs, BetMGM has a great promo available. If you sign up using the link below and place a $5 bet, BetMGM will give you $158 in bonus bets in honor of Super Bowl 58. With this in mind, these are the best NFL Wild Card player props and betting model predictions available on BetMGM for this weekend’s football games.
NFL Wild Card Betting Model Predictions: BetMGM Player Props
Betting Model Prediction: Matthew Stafford O/U 0.5 Rushing Yards
This is the top projected BetMGM bet according to OddsShopper. BetMGM has this prop lined at +105, which is by far the best line on the market. Books like FanDuel and bet365 have the line set at 1.5 rushing yards, while Pinnacle and WynnBet are posting 0.5 lines but have odds at -110 and -115.
This kind of line shopping shows the increased value that comes from looking for the best line at multiple books. A $100 winning bet at +105 returns $105, and a $100 winning bet at -110 returns $90.91. In the long run of sports betting, the difference in these lines makes a massive difference across hundreds of bets placed.
Best NFL Wild Card Bet: Matthew Stafford Over 0.5 Rushing Yards (+105) at BetMGM
Betting Model Prediction: Mason Rudolph O/U 0.5 Passing Touchdowns
The Steelers’ implied team total is under 13 points for this game. This is the result of having a backup quarterback playing a playoff game and also due to a terrible weather report. Windy and snowy conditions are leading to this weekend’s matchup between the Steelers and Bills having a total of just 33.5 points. This is the lowest total of the weekend by more than 10 points.
This sets up a good betting opportunity to take Rudolph under 0.5 passing touchdowns at plus money. Most book have this prop at minus money on the under, including Pinnacle and FanDuel. Props and totals continue to drop for this game due to the weather conditions.
Best NFL Wild Card Bet: Mason Rudolph Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (+110) at BetMGM
OddsShopper’s 2024 NFL Draft Betting Tools & Tips
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