Before Week 1 of the NFL season goes into the books, there is one final game to break down. One could argue the league saved the best for last, as Monday Night Football features a highly anticipated matchup between the Jets and the Bills. Both these teams have Super Bowl aspirations, and given the hype around the Jets offseason, it does not get much bigger than this. Vegas expects a closely contested game judging by the spread, but there is one angle from a betting standpoint worth targeting. Let’s get into the best NFL bets from the Bills-Jets game, accompanied by a DraftKings promo code.
Best NFL Bets Today | Bills-Jets Pick (September 11)
The Bills are slight 2-point favorites at most books, with the total dropping into the 45-point range. It is important to stress that there are some 45.5-point totals out there, and that is absolutely crucial for this play and anyone interested in the under. The number of games that land right on 45 is immense, and it is a key number when talking totals. Seeing 45.5 at -110 at a few spots is a big part of be playing for defense tonight.
The Bills bring plenty of firepower on both sides of the ball. This Josh Allen-led team will put stress on any defense, but going up against the Jets front is no easy task. The surprising part about the Bills is their own defense, which had some gaudy numbers of its own. It was in the top 5 in points allowed per game last year as well as top 5 in passing yards allowed per attempt. The front should be able to get pressure against a Jets offensive line that a lot of people are concerned about. Even with Aaron Rodgers under center, it is not a given the Jets offense will have success tonight.
It has been a crazy offseason for the Jets, with all eyes on them and their new quarterback. It is an easy sell to say Rodgers was the missing piece, but that does not mean Week 1 will produce a prolific offensive attack. The Jets were 29th in points per game last year, so they have a lot of room for improvement and still will be led by an elite defense. The Jets also were top 5 in points allowed per game and passing yards allowed per attempt last year, and that should not change. Their defensive line is arguably the best in the league, and the Bills will need a big showing to protect Allen in this spot. Both teams are comfortable playing at an average pace, furthering the need to be efficient if this is getting over 45 points tonight.
A lot of teams across the league tried to shake off the rust, and the lack of preseason will do that. Several defenses seemed to be ahead of their offensive counterparts, and both of these teams might fit that mold tonight. It is not to say Allen and Rodgers do not have the talent or weapons to light up the scoreboard, but in this spot under 45.5 at -110 is the move to make.
Bills-Jets Pick for Best NFL Bets Today: Game Total Under 45.5 (-110, DraftKings Promo Code)