It’s finally time — the last PrizePicks NFL slate of the season — and we’re going to attack the Super Bowl in style. To close the year with PrizePicks, OddsShopper’s experts have all submitted their favorite picks for 49ers-Chiefs, so let’s not waste any time getting into the best plays of Super Bowl 58.
Selecting the right projections may be challenging, but with the assistance of OddsShopper’s NFL PrizePicks optimizer and thorough research, we’ve got you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NFL picks and player predictions for Super Bowl 58. Need more action? Our PrizePicks NFL optimizer has plenty more picks waiting for you to view, and our PrizePicks guide can help you make the sharpest plays possible.
PrizePicks NFL Player Predictions: Deebo Samuel & More
Greg Ehrenberg: Travis Kelce MORE Than 71.5 Receiving Yards
After a somewhat disappointing season for Kelce from a fantasy standpoint, he is back to playing like a stud in the playoffs. What is most projectable about his play in the postseason is his increased workload. Kelce’s target share waned in the second half of the season, with him averaging 6.6 targets in the final eight games of the regular season, but he’s seeing more targets in the playoffs. Kelce’s 27 targets in the Chiefs’ three playoff games have led to 262 yards as Mahomes has looked for his star tight end frequently in the highest-leverage games of the season.
Eric Lindquist: George Kittle MORE Than 50.5 Receiving Yards
The NFC Championship game was rather quiet for the San Francisco star tight end, posting just two catches on three targets for a total 27 yards receiving. But part of what makes the 49ers offense so special is its ability to use its extraordinary skill position players to target the weakest link of the opposition; in other words, it takes what the defense gives it. And with the number of two-high coverages the Chiefs like to play, this sets up to be more of a Kittle spot than we saw against the exploitable Lions secondary where Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk were obvious go-tos. Plus, the exploitable part of this otherwise solid Chiefs defense are safeties Justin Reid and Mike Edwards, both of whom are ranked in the bottom 20 of qualified safeties on PFF this season, and both of whom are expected to draw the Kittle matchup come Sunday.
If you’re looking for some other action this weekend, bet365 is offering a host of great Super Bowl props! This one has Travis Kelce at +4000 to score one of the first two touchdowns of the game — which seems like great value to us. And if you’re looking to find the highest-EV Super Bowl bets, OddsShopper Premium has the No. 1 projections out there! Click here to see if bet365 is legal in your state.
Eytan Shander: Deebo Samuel LESS Than 17.5 Rushing Yards
Let’s be honest, Samuel makes his money with short grabs and creating open space with the football. While he’s certainly a threat on the ground, the 49ers still have a rather capable running back who can dominate with enough touches. Over the two playoff games, Samuel has a combined three carries for 7 yards, including a fat 0 against the Packers. The biggest theme between these two games and the Super Bowl will be the Niners trailing. Kansas City’s defense is no joke this year, getting the last laugh on No. 1 wide receivers and still seeing limited rushing attempts despite giving up some on the ground. Christian McCaffrey is the best option on the ground, and the 49ers are going to be playing from behind, at least in the first half. Getting to 18 rushing yards is going to take more than one carry, and that’s even an ask for Samuel.
Matt Gajewski: Marquez Valdes-Scantling MORE Than 19.5 Receiving Yards
Kansas City finally made the correct decision to sit Mecole Hardman after his abomination for a game in the Divisional Round. With Hardman playing just one snap and Kadarius Toney also on the outs in Kansas City, Valdes-Scantling played 67 of 80 offensive snaps in the AFC Conference Championship. He also participated in 50 of 52 possible routes. Valdes-Scantling only drew targets, but he reeled in both for 38 yards during that contest. With an average depth of target of 17.9 yards, Valdes-Scantling may only need a single target to eclipse his receiving total here. In a game with Kansas City pegged as a 2-point underdog, the Kansas City passing game should find its path of least resistance against the San Francisco secondary.
OddsShopper’s PrizePicks NFL Tools & Tips
Check out OddsShopper’s tools for winning PrizePicks plays that are updated every day. If you want to learn more about PrizePicks, check out our PrizePicks guide, see if it’s legal in your state — or check out our breakdown of their Taco Tuesday promotion. Haven’t signed up yet? That’s great — use our PrizePicks promo code, which allows new users to get their first deposit matched up to $100!
