The San Francisco 49ers will host the Seattle Seahawks in the opening matchup of Super Wild Card Weekend. But with ugly weather expected in Santa Clara today, both Geno Smith and Brock Purdy must now contend with unfavorable conditions. Bettors should target this Seahawks-49ers NFL player prop for Saturday’s action — too much value remains on the player prop markets for Kenneth Walker III. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Seahawks-49ers NFL Player Prop Bet | Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III Prop O/U 2.5 Receptions
Rainy games aren’t fun for passing offenses. Teams often pivot to the run with a bit more frequency to compensate for a ball that’s harder to catch and throw. Unfortunately for the Seattle Seahawks, such a pivot won’t work well against the San Francisco 49ers. The San Francisco defense ranks second in EPA per rush (-0.17), second in yards allowed per rush attempt (3.4) and first in rushing yards allowed to running backs per game (59.6).
The defensive matchup and bad weather could lead Geno Smith to dump off to his rookie running back, Kenneth Walker III, with a bit more frequency. That’s what other teams have done against the 49ers all season. Despite their electric rushing defense, the 49ers have allowed the 10th-most receptions per game to running backs (5.8). Walker even caught four passes against them in Week 15.
The game script should also assist Walker. The 49ers are massive 9.5-point favorites, which means the books expect Seattle to play most of Saturday’s game from behind. That should force the Seahawks into a pass-heavy scenario as they look to rally — leading to an uptick in passing attempts for Smith and an uptick in targets for Walker. Also, Noah Fant and DeeJay Dallas, two of Smith’s other short-yardage targets, have both been working through injuries and practiced just once all week. Walker may need to play a larger role as a result.
Bettors can secure the best deal on this NFL player prop at DraftKings, where Kenneth Walker III is listed at +115 to secure at least three catches. He could easily beat that number given today’s conditions. Readers who are yet to register at DraftKings can secure $200 with a $5 wager on the NFL playoffs! Those located in Ohio can access that same deal via this link instead.
Best NFL Seahawks-49ers Player Prop: Kenneth Walker III Over 2.5 Receptions (+115 for 0.5 Unit) at DraftKings
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