A week after getting blown out by the Miami Dolphins, the Denver Broncos will have to visit the Chicago Bears. The Bears have looked terrible this season, but a matchup against the Broncos’ defense might just be what the doctor ordered. Let’s dive into the Broncos-Bears player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 4, which is a bet on Justin Fields.
Broncos-Bears Player Prop Bet for Week 4
Broncos-Bears Information
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Watch: CBS
When: Sunday, Oct. 1 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago
Who: Justin Fields at DraftKings
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Broncos-Bears Player Prop Pick
Not much has gone right for the Chicago Bears this season, but the Denver Broncos are the perfect get-right matchup. Denver is unlikely to have several key pieces of its defense, including linebacker Josey Jewell and pass rusher Frank Clark. The Broncos rank an embarrassing 32nd in both expected points added (EPA) allowed per dropback and rush attempt. They just gave up 700-plus yards to the Dolphins in a demoralizing loss, and now they get to face a difficult-to-defend Justin Fields.
Fields might be averaging only 211.6 combined passing and rushing yards per game, but we’re playing him to go over the 249.5. He started last season off similarly slow — he was averaging only 130.7 passing and rushing yards per game through Week 3 last year, but then he turned things up a notch and averaged 249.4 the rest of the way. The matchup with a banged-up and inefficient Denver defense bodes well for him.
Fields is also a more efficient player at home. He averages 0.2 more yards per pass attempt and 1.2 more yards per attempt when playing at Soldier Field, and while that not may sound like much, that’s a gain of 4.5 passing yards and 10.2 rushing yards when we factor in his average number of attempts per game. I’m a little concerned by offensive coordinator Luke Getsy’s poor play-calling, but if there were ever a spot for him to figure things out, it’s this one.
Hungry for more? Check out the rest of our NFL player props for Week 4! ➚➚
Best Broncos-Bears Player Prop: Justin Fields Over 249.5 Passing & Rushing Yards -115 at DraftKings
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