I’m back with some NFL player prop picks for Week 13. You can read our staff’s full betting card here, but now, let’s dive into this C.J. Stroud NFL player prop pick for Sunday’s Broncos-Texans game. I found this pick by using OddsShopper’s model, which has helped me build my bankroll this NFL season — and print 13.7 units of profit on the NBA!
Broncos-Texans Player Prop Bet for NFL Week 13
Broncos-Texans Information
Expert: OddsShopper’s Model
Watch: CBS
When: Sunday, Dec. 3 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston
Who: C.J. Stroud at BetMGM
Broncos-Texans Player Prop Pick: C.J. Stroud
Let’s kick things off with one play we like that OddsShopper’s model loves. The Houston Texans struck gold with rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud in this year’s draft, but they’re still building out the rest of their roster, and they are just a field-goal favorite over the visiting Denver Broncos this weekend. Denver should keep this one close, which means plenty of passing attempts for Stroud.
Hungry for more? Check out the rest of our NFL player props for Week 13! ➚➚
The model generates the true odds of a given wager by indexing the odds across the market and adjusting for both book sharpness and hold. Once we have the true odds, we can compare them to the odds available across the market. In this case, BetMGM is selling a wager with true odds of -124 (55.4%) for only -110 (52.4%).
The model is telling us that there is enough edge for a better with a $1,000 bankroll to wager $46. You can get every pick from OddsShopper’s model by subscribing for $49.95 per month — make sure to use promo code “ISIROIS” for 20% off at checkout!
Broncos-Texans Player Prop Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 33.5 Passing Attempts -110 at BetMGM
OddsShopper’s NFL Tools & Tips
Looking for more 2023 NFL predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NFL season — make sure to check out the rest of our NFL articles, including our power rankings and division previews. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets — or try it out for Week 13 now!
