The ninth week of the NFL ends in Kansas City as the Chiefs and Buccaneers square off at Arrowhead. These two teams are heading in opposite directions, but that’s more of a recent development in Tampa since the Buccaneers are down their top two weapons on offense and facing one of the league’s top defenses. It took near the end of the month for Patrick Mahomes to finally throw a touchdown pass in October, and Kansas City is still undefeated. Andy Reid is 24-11-1 against the spread on Monday night; that’s spanning multiple decades. Here is your top anytime touchdown pick for Buccaneers-Chiefs Monday Night Football, and click here for more NFL expert picks!
Buccaneers-Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Bet for Monday
The Buccaneers are in trouble. Kansas City applies a ton of pressure, and Tampa is missing key pieces in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Sure, Baker Mayfield has Cade Otton and Rachaad White — but that’s a plan C at best. Meanwhile, the Chiefs were so down at the receiver position that they traded for DeAndre Hopkins. While he was limited in his debut, it’s safe to say that Hopkins still stands out among the current crop of Chiefs receivers — and a huge reason his target share should go up tonight.
Tampa Bay gives up an absurd number of passing yards. It is one of the five worst passing defenses across the entire NFL, and while Xavier Worthy or Justin Watson may not strike fear in the heart of opposing defensive coordinators, we should expect a creative approach with Hopkins. The offense, quarterback and overall approach each week are simply better in Kansas City, and with the Bucs giving up so many passing yards — this is the best opportunity Kansas City will have to stretch the field.
I like Hopkins to see more than double the targets he had in his debut. Mahomes is sharp and will balance Hopkins’ presence on the field with Travis Kelce ready to attack. We get a price just lower than 2-1, but once Hopkins gets truly acclimated, this will be lower moving forward.
Play the matchup, play the number — ultimately play the better team and the better quarterback. The only other option tonight would be watered down prices for both tight ends — Kelce and Otton — or some long shot like Watson. Hopkins is the way; he’s there for nights like this.
Buccaneers-Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Bet: DeAndre Hopkins (+180 at FanDuel)
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