Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks will get to host the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, and the books expect a big win for the home team. Seattle is trading as an 8.5-point favorite. Let’s dive into the Cardinals-Seahawks player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 7, which is a bet on Geno Smith. If you’re looking for the most up-to-date Cardinals-Seahawks odds, make sure to check out OddsShopper’s shop pages!
Cardinals-Seahawks Player Prop Bet for Week 7
Cardinals-Seahawks Information
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Watch: FOX
When: Sunday, Oct. 22 at 4:05 p.m. ET
Where: Lumen Field, Seattle
Who: Geno Smith at bet365
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Cardinals-Seahawks Player Prop Pick for Geno Smith
Geno Smith is a very good quarterback. This season, he has completed 67.6% of his pass attempts for 7.1 yards per attempt. He has thrown just three interceptions as well, good for an interception rate of just 1.8%. However, Smith has thrown seven interceptable passes, so he has benefited from good luck to this point in the year. Even though we’ve seen solid stuff out of Smith this season, the public books have far more faith in the veteran quarterback than the sharp ones.
Pinnacle, a sharp book, is listing Smith at odds of +131 to throw an interception. The public books universally have their odds at a longer price, but none stands out more than bet365. So what do the numbers OddsShopper’s model is spitting out actually mean? The model estimates a fair price for the over at +164, a conclusion it reaches by taking the odds available at sharp books and adjusting for hold. That means we’re getting plenty of edge relative to the number trading at bet365, and, using the Kelly criterion, a bettor with a $1,000 bankroll should wager $38 on it.
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There are some non-market-based factors that support this play as well. The Arizona Cardinals could get safety Budda Baker back in time for this one. Baker has seven interceptions dating back to 2020. The Seahawks may also be without DK Metcalf, who is questionable with a hip injury. If Metcalf can’t go, Smith would be down to Tyler Lockett, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Jake Bobo at wide receiver, all of whom are solid, but Metcalf’s injury could throw things off for them.
Best Cardinals-Seahawks Player Prop: Geno Smith Over 0.5 Interceptions +190 at bet365
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