The Washington Commanders will visit the New England Patriots on Sunday, less than a week after they shipped off edge rushers Montez Sweat and Chase Young at the trade deadline. I’m backing New England’s offense in this spot as a result. Let’s dive into the Commanders-Patriots player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 9, which is a bet on Mac Jones. If you’re hungry for more action, check out the rest of our NFL player prop bets, our NFL betting tools or our NFL betting promos!
Commanders-Patriots Player Prop Bet for Week 9
Commanders-Patriots Information
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Watch: FOX
When: Sunday, Nov. 5 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass.
Who: Mac Jones at FanDuel
Commanders-Patriots Player Prop Pick for Mac Jones
It’s been an up-and-down year for third-year quarterback Mac Jones. The Patriots fell to a brutal 2-6 last week with a road loss to the Miami Dolphins in which Jones threw for only 161 yards. However, the Patriots were coming off a four-point win over the Buffalo Bills a week before, and Jones had thrown for 272 yards in that contest. The Patriots now return home for a must-win game over a Washington Commanders team that sold at the trade deadline.
Jones’ splits point to some meaningful value here. He has played far better at home than on the road — Jones is averaging 232.3 passing yards per game in Gillette Stadium versus 178 yards per game outside of it. This trend has held true throughout Jones’ career — he is averaging 226.9 passing yards per game in home contests versus 205.4 passing yards per game in road contests. Jones has gone over the number where the books have set his passing yardage prop, 222.5, in three of his four home starts this year.
Hungry for more? Check out the rest of our NFL player props for Week 9! ➚➚
I recommend teasing Jones’ passing yardage prop up to 225 at FanDuel, where you’ll find the over priced at -108. Jones has beaten this number in 20 of his 39 career starts, including 13 of his 20 starts at Gillette Stadium. Jones will also face a bad pass rush now that the Commanders have dealt defensive ends Montez Sweat and Chase Young. New England’s offensive line may rank a dismal 32nd in pass-block win rate (44%), but that shouldn’t matter against the bad defensive front the Commanders trot out in Week 9.
Best Commanders-Patriots Player Prop: Mac Jones 225+ Passing Yards -108 at FanDuel
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