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Dolphins-Commanders Player Prop for Week 13: Why is this Waddle Line SO LOW?!? (Dec. 3)

The last time we saw Jaylen Waddle, he was busy catching all eight of his targets for 114 yards on Black Friday. It seems like the books left the Black Friday sale on a little too long, because we’re getting a number here that is a BIG TIME bargain. So, let’s break down the best Dolphins-Commanders player prop pick for Jaylen Waddle in Week 13.

Dolphins-Commanders Player Prop Bet for NFL Week 13

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Dolphins-Commanders Information 

Expert: Nathan Joyce
Watch: FOX
When: Sunday, Dec. 3 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
Who: Jaylen Waddle at FanDuel

Dolphins-Commanders Player Prop Pick: Jaylen Waddle

It was great to see Jaylen Waddle get back into the mix in a big way against the lowly Jets in Week 12. It instills more confidence in this pick for me knowing Tua & Co. were making a concerted effort to get our boy the ball.

This week, the Dolphins take on the Commanders, and the sportsbooks have set the reception line for Waddle at 4.5, which just feels too low.

Look, I know that he hadn’t gone over four receptions in a game since late October before he did it last week. I get that. But there are two factors at play here.

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The first; Tyreek Hill is listed as questionable for this game and might be dealing with a bit of an injury issue. So, if he’s limited in any capacity, more targets could be funneled Waddle’s way.

The second: Where do you think most of the coverage and defensive energy will be concentrated? Tyreek. Let’s be real, it would matter if the Commanders put all of their energy into stopping anyone on defense, they still wouldn’t be able to do it.

OddsShopper’s model likes Waddle to hit the over of 4.5 here almost 56% of the time, so I think we can fire this baby up for -138 at FanDuel.

Dolphins-Commanders Player Prop Pick: Jaylen Waddle Over 4.5 Receptions for -138 at FanDuel

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Nathan Joyce

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Nathan Joyce

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