The Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles will square off in a surprisingly watchable NFL primetime game. We had the Bills and Giants in this spot last week, and, well, ew. Each week, I post my NFL breakdowns early and provide updates later in the week, and you can find the rest of my Week 7 picks here. Let’s dig into Sunday’s Dolphins-Eagles betting odds as we make our predictions and pick the best NFL Week 7 bet!
Dolphins-Eagles Pick & Betting Prediction | Sunday Night Football
Sunday Night Football Odds
Odds via bet365
Dolphins: +135 | Eagles: -155
Dolphins +3: -110 | Eagles -3: -105
Over 51.5: -110 | Under 51.5: -110
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Time: Sunday, Oct. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET
Dolphins-Eagles Pick & Prediction
What’s this — an actually good Sunday Night Football matchup? After last weekend’s borderline unwatchable Giants-Bills game, in which offensive mishaps led to just 23 points getting put on the board, this Sunday’s Dolphins-Eagles contest is a welcome reprieve. Both sides have looked effective on offense but have struggled on defense, leading the books to list this total at 51.5. Given some key injuries to Philadelphia’s defense and Miami’s overall poor defensive play, I wouldn’t be surprised to see this one tick up even higher before kickoff. They are a combined 7-5 to the over this season.
Miami’s offense is the most efficient in football. Mike McDaniel has crafted an attack that’s nearly impossible to defend because of several high-speed weapons. Although running back De’Von Achane is now sidelined, wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are still available, as is running back Raheem Mostert. Nine of the 20 fastest speeds recorded this season were set by Dolphins players. Six were recorded by Hill and Mostert combined. Miami ranks first in expected points added (EPA) per rush and second in EPA per dropback as a function of their lightning-quick speed and McDaniel’s sharp scheming.
Philadelphia’s defense has some bright spots, but it hasn’t performed as well as it did last year, and injuries are becoming a problem. The Eagles rank only 18th in EPA allowed per rush and 13th in EPA allowed per dropback. The defensive line is still dominant, as the Eagles rank sixth in pass-rush win rate (53%) and second in run-stop win rate (36%). Philadelphia will get defensive tackle Jalen Carter back from his ankle injury, but safety Reed Blankenship and cornerback Bradley Roby are both out. The Dolphins will benefit from their absences.
Check out our NFL picks and predictions for Week 7! ➚➚
I’m backing the Dolphins to put plenty of points on the board on Sunday. I bought the over for their team total when it was trading at 25.5. It has since ticked down to 24.5 or 23.5 depending on where you look. We can buy the 23.5 for -130 at bet365, which is a great spot that gets us under the key number of 24. Miami is averaging 37.2 points per game this year and has stayed under 24 just once. I trust them to keep things rolling in primetime, and you should, too.
Dolphins-Eagles NFL Week 7 Pick: Miami Team Total Over 25.5 -108 at FanDuel
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