This game just feels like leftovers, right? Like, it’s not what you want, but you’re gonna take it anyway because it’s there. At least there’s some semblance of goodness with Tyreek Hill. He’s one of the main cogs in our Dolphins-Jets same game parlay bet for Friday Night Football.
Dolphins-Jets Same Game Parlay Bet Friday
Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (NFL Player Prop)
This feels like the Tua Tagovailoa and Dolphins bounce-back smash spot. After he played a meh game against the Raiders in Week 11 and the Dolphins had to fight to survive for most of that game, we are going to get #GoodTua.
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We’re looking for over 1.5 passing touchdowns here against the Jets, who just got WORKED by Josh Allen and the Bill to the tune of 275 yards and three touchdowns.
Tagovailoa has thrown for at least two touchdowns in six games this season, and with De’Von Achane likely limited or out this week, we might see an uptick here in passes flowing through Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 Receptions (NFL Player Prop)
The last time Tyreek Hill didn’t have over 5.5 receptions was in that Week 4 drubbing against the Bills. Since then, he’s had six or more catches in every game and has been getting PEPPERED by Tagovailoa.
Hill has seen 10-plus targets in five consecutive games, and he’s No. 4 in the NFL in targets.
Tagovailoa is clearly favoring throwing the ball to Hill, and the OddsShopper Prop Tool has this bet rated with a 57% expected win rate. We love that type of confidence from the tool that has helped us be profitable all season.
Tyreek Hill Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (NFL Player Prop)
If we’re taking the over on Hill receptions, we’re definitely going OVER on receiving yards, especially if we think there’s a chance he sees another 10 targets.
The biggest factor drawing me here is that Hill can take out a MASSIVE chunk of this number on one catch. He is arguably the best big-play receiver in the NFL.
So far this season, he’s got six games with his longest reception being 38 yards or longer. In fact, they are as follows: 38, 42, 47, 69 (niiiice), 54 and 47.
Let’s just get ourselves a 50-yard touchdown early in this game and coast to the over on 78.5 receiving yards.
Dolphins -9.5 (NFL Pick)
This isn’t so much a play on the Dolphins offense being incredible but more a play against Tim Boyle starting at quarterback for the Jets.
Can he be any WORSE than Zach Wilson? It would be unlikely. But the real question is, how much BETTER can he be? The answer is: Not much.
If we think of how many points the Jets are likely to score with Boyle leading the attack, I can’t come up with a scenario in which they score more than 17 unless they get a couple of defensive/special teams boosts.
I’m trusting the Dolphins to go into New York and lay the pipe.
Final Dolphins-Jets Same-Game Parlay Bet for Thanksgiving
Leg 1: Tua Tagovailoa o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (NFL Player Prop)
Leg 2: Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 Receptions (NFL Player Prop)
Leg 3: Tyreek Hill Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (NFL Player Prop)
Leg 4: Dolphins -9.5 (NFL Pick)
= +405 FanDuel Sportsbook
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