Thursday Night Football heads to Los Angeles for an AFC West clash as the Denver Broncos seek revenge for their earlier 23-16 home loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. With two top-tier defenses taking the field, the game carries a lower total of 41.5, which sets up intriguing opportunities in the prop market. I’ve narrowed down two bets for our DraftKings Pick6 NFL picks. Let’s go ahead and dive into my favorite plays with the top two DraftKings Pick6 NFL predictions for the Chargers-Broncos Thursday Night Football game!
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DraftKings Pick6 NFL Predictions for Chargers-Broncos
Want more NFL pick’em tips? Check out our other NFL articles and NFL +EV bets, or dive into our guide to DraftKings Pick6 for NFL expert picks!
Ladd McConkey M/L 63.5 Receiving Yards
Rookie wide receiver Ladd McConkey has emerged as Justin Herbert’s top target this season, averaging 4.8 receptions on 6.8 targets for 67 receiving yards per game. Impressively, McConkey hasn’t been held under 50 receiving yards since Week 7.
When these teams faced each in Week 6, McConkey caught four of six targets but managed just 43 yards. While Denver allows only 9.5 yards per completion (3rd best in the league), they still give up over 216 passing yards per game (16th).
Stokastic’s NFL DFS projections are bullish on McConkey tonight, projecting him for 5.6 receptions and approximately 75 receiving yards. This projection creates a strong case for backing his over.
DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Ladd McConkey More Than 63.5 Receiving Yards
Kimani Vidal M/L Than 24.5 Rushing Yards
Without J.K. Dobbins in the mix, Kimani Vidal’s opportunity for reps has widened. While he’s logged just 11 carries over the past two games, the low volume last week was largely due to the Chargers being dominated by the Buccaneers, forcing them to abandon the run game.
Vidal’s primary competition in the backfield is Gus Edwards. In the first game without Dobbins, Edwards rushed 10 times for 36 yards against the Chiefs, followed by eight carries for 23 yards last week. Meanwhile, Vidal had eight carries for 34 yards two weeks ago versus the Chiefs but managed just three carries for 9 yards this past Sunday. Despite these numbers, Vidal should get enough reps to surpass this modest prop line.
Stokastic’s NFL DFS projections have Vidal rushing the ball 9 times for 35 yards. While it won’t be easy – given the Broncos allow the second-fewest yards per carry (3.9) and rank top-5 in both rush EPA and success rate allowed – the projections show a clear edge. If you believe the Chargers will have a slight advantage and aim to control the clock in the second half (as I do), Vidal should have a path to exceeding 24.5 rushing yards.
DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Kimani Vidal More Than 24.5 Rushing Yards
