Week 18 of the NFL season is here and there’s plenty of postseason motivation on the line. Our projections are showing numerous edges and we’re looking to exploit those with this week’s DraftKings Pick6 predictions. Here are your top two plays for the Steelers-Bengals!
DraftKings Pick6 NFL Predictions for Steelers-Bengals
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Najee Harris M/L Than 45.5 Rushing Yards
The Cincinnati Bengals come into this matchup with a brutal run defense, allowing 4.5 yards per carry. They rank 31st in defensive rush success rate and 29th in rush EPA per play.
In their first meeting, these AFC North rivals combined for a high-scoring shootout, with Pittsburgh securing a 44-38 road victory.
While both quarterbacks posted impressive numbers, Najee Harris’s efficiency on the ground stood out — a performance that aligns with our current prop market edge. Harris carried the ball 16 times for 75 yards and scored a touchdown in that game.
Stokastic’s NFL DFS projections have Harris at 12 carries for 55 yards this time around, but I personally expect him to surpass those numbers.
Either way, there’s clear value on his current prop line and I’m going to bet it.
DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Najee Harris More Than 45.5 Rushing Yards
Joe Burrow M/L Than 287.5 Passing Yards
This play feels like the obvious choice — but if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Joe Burrow is averaging 290 passing yards per game this season and has hit the 290-yard mark in seven games. That includes the first meeting against the Steelers, where he completed 28 of 38 passes for 309 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception.
Stokastic’s NFL DFS projections have Burrow throwing for 300 yards on 26 completions. Normally, I’d be cautious about betting an over on a high prop line, but Burrow’s consistency has been remarkable. He’s produced against nearly every opponent this season.
The Bengals’ postseason hopes may be slim, but they’re still alive — and their best chance to stay in the hunt is to ride Burrow’s arm. The Steelers rank 23rd in pass coverage per PFF and allow 10.5 yards per completion, making this an ideal spot for Burrow to keep slinging it.
DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Joe Burrow More Than 287.5 Passing Yards
