The Super Bowl is still months away, but FanDuel has unleashed an awesome new promotion available to both new and existing customers for this year’s NFL season. Bettors who wager $50 on a team to win the Super Bowl will receive $5 in bonus bets for each of the first 10 regular-season wins their chosen team records. Let’s dive into the Super Bowl odds at FanDuel to make our best pick and prediction for their Super Win Bonus!
Looking for more 2023 NFL predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down the upcoming NFL season — make sure to check out the rest of our NFL articles, including our AFC West and NFC West previews. Come back during the NFL season for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets — or try it out for Week 1 now!
FanDuel’s Super Win Bonus: Best Super Bowl Pick & Prediction
Super Bowl Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Super Win Bonus Strategy
We aren’t just betting on a team to win the Super Bowl with FanDuel’s Super Win Bonus — we’re also betting on a team to win 10-plus games. While we won’t get any extra credit for backing a team that ends up winning more than 10 games, we’ll want to make sure that our chosen option has a floor around that number.
Not every team is a realistic contender for the Super Bowl, so let’s limit our shortlist to teams that are expected to record double-digit wins. At FanDuel, 12 teams have a greater than 50% chance of winning 10-plus games. Let’s go through them and their implied odds of reaching that threshold:
Kansas City: -420 (80.7%)
Philadelphia: -370 (78.7%)
Cincinnati: -300 (75%)
San Francisco: -290 (74.4%)
Buffalo: -250 (71.4%)
Dallas: -170 (62.9%)
Baltimore: -154 (60.6%)
Jacksonville: -148 (59.7%)
LA Chargers: -134 (57.3%)
Detroit: -130 (56.5%)
NY Jets: -124 (55.4%)
Miami: -112 (52.8%)
Last year’s AFC and NFC Champions, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles, own the best odds to score 10-plus wins this season. The Cincinnati Bengals and San Francisco 49ers, who lost in the respective conference championship games, are not far behind. A handful of teams that missed the playoffs last season have odds of 50% or better, including the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Chargers.
Super Bowl Pick for FanDuel’s Super Win Bonus
The Buffalo Bills have some tough competition in the AFC East to deal with, but that hasn’t been a problem for them in the recent past. The Bills handled the Miami Dolphins at home in the regular season and again in the playoffs last year. They have gotten oh-so-close to the AFC Championship Game in each of the last two seasons, losing out because of the Bengals and Bills, but this could be their year to put it all together.
Buffalo had a solid offseason. Their problems down the stretch stemmed from inconsistent defensive play due to a poor pass rush and banged-up secondary. Fortunately for the Bills, star safeties Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer are healthy, and cornerback Tre’Davious White will be available to start the season after missing several games early last year. White has regressed over the last two seasons but should benefit greatly from entering the year with a clean bill of health. Buffalo also added veteran safety Taylor Rapp, who recorded a PFF grade of 76.2 last season.
Check out our college football picks and predictions for Week 1! >>
Buffalo’s pass rush will remain without Von Miller for a few weeks, but they added some talent to help bolster the unit which should help offset his absence. Veteran Leonard Floyd joins the Bills after spending three years with the Rams. He recorded PFF grades of 69, 70.4 and 65.7 across his three-season tenure. Third-round rookie linebacker Dorian Williams also joins Buffalo after tallying 9.5 sacks and 27 tackles for loss in college — along with two interceptions, seven passes defended and two interceptions. The Bills were confident enough in their pass rush to ship Carlos Basham Jr. off to the Giants for a late-round pick swap.
But it’s Buffalo’s offense that inspires the most confidence — any Josh Allen-led team is at least a playoff contender. Allen ranked fourth among quarterbacks in adjusted expected points added (EPA) per play last year, trailing only Patrick Mahomes, Tua Tagovailoa and Jimmy Garoppolo in the metric. Allen will get to work with a mostly unchanged supporting cast, but Devin Singletary has been swapped out for Damien Harris, and tight end Dawson Knox now has competition from rookie Dalton Kincaid, who can play a big slot role. The Bills also bolstered their offensive line by adding guard Connor McGovern.
The Bills don’t have an easy schedule, but it won’t be hard for them to reach 10 wins. They open the year against the new-look Jets (away) but then play the Raiders (home), the Commanders (away), the Dolphins (home), the Jaguars (home) and Giants (home), which should get them to at least four wins. The Bills should also win games against the Buccaneers (home), Broncos (home), Jets (home), Cowboys (home) and Patriots (home) to get to nine. Road trips to Philadelphia and Kansas City will be tough, but they’ll get a week off between those contests.
New to FanDuel? If you sign up now with our FanDuel promo code, you’ll get $200 in bonus bets and $100 off NFL Sunday Ticket by placing a $5 wager!
Super Bowl Pick for Super Win Bonus: Buffalo Bills +900
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