Thanksgiving week is upon us, which means it’s time for some football, college basketball and all the holiday madness. But before we dive into rivalry games and turkey, let’s talk about what’s right in front of us — Monday Night Football. We have a lot to cover, including my Ravens-Chargers MNF pick. Don’t forget to check out OddsShopper for more FREE expert NFL picks and best bets, NFL betting advice, and +EV NFL bets!
Free Monday Night Football NFL Expert Pick Today: Ravens-Chargers
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Free NFL Expert Pick: Ravens -2.5 vs. Chargers
The Chargers are no joke. They have star power across the board, but this is not a typical opponent. Baltimore presents a tough stylistic challenge, and the matchup heavily favors the Ravens.
The Chargers are methodical. They play slow, grind-out games and lean heavily on their defense. They’ve done a great job beating weaker teams, but their three losses — against Pittsburgh, Kansas City and Arizona — highlight the struggles they’ve faced against stronger opponents. Their wins, while impressive, have come against teams like the Saints, Browns, Titans and Panthers.
Defensively, the Chargers excel in many areas, but stopping the run isn’t one of them. They’re giving up over 4.5 yards per carry, which is problematic against a Ravens offense that thrives on the ground.
Baltimore comes into this game as one of the most prolific offenses in the league. It leads in points per game, rushing yards per attempt and overall rushing production. Even with some defensive lapses — particularly against explosive passing plays — the Ravens match up perfectly here.
Baltimore’s defense has been dominant against the run, allowing the fewest yards per attempt in the league. If the Chargers can’t establish the run, they’ll have to lean on their passing game, something they’ve been hesitant to do all season.
This game boils down to style and execution. Baltimore’s rushing attack will control the tempo, while its defense will force the Chargers into uncomfortable situations. The Ravens have let a few games slip away this season, but this matchup is tailor-made for them to rebound.
I trust Lamar Jackson and the Ravens weapons to move the ball effectively, and I’m confident their defense will limit the Chargers’ opportunities on the ground. Baltimore has faced tougher competition and proven it can win in hostile environments.
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