It’s Thursday Night Football time, and we’ve got a great matchup between the Packers and the Lions. Whether you’re diving into college basketball, NBA, NHL or even a little soccer, there’s a ton of action to break down today. But here we focus on one bet, one pick, one play for tonight’s big game. Before we jump into my free NFL pick for tonight’s Packers-Lions Thursday Night Football matchup, take a moment to check out OddsShopper for more FREE expert NFL picks and best bets, NFL betting advice, and +EV NFL bets!
Free Thursday Night Football NFL Expert Pick Today: Packers-Lions
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Free NFL Expert Pick: Lions -3.5
It’s a simple bet because Detroit is just that good. The Lions are at home, coming off a week of rest after Thanksgiving. They’ve been dominant all year, losing just once. Sure, the game against the Bears was chaotic, but they still found a way to win. That’s the mark of a great team.
The one concern for Detroit is injuries on defense. It feels like it loses a key player every week, but so far it has managed to mask those issues. Offensively, there’s no concern whatsoever. This unit is electric — it is the highest-scoring team in the league, leading in yards per pass, and it has a dynamic backfield duo. Its execution is strong across the board.
The Packers are a solid 9-3 team. They just beat the Dolphins and are definitely in the mix. But here’s the thing: Green Bay has struggled against the best teams on their schedule. It has lost to the Vikings, Eagles and Lions already this season. Its wins are mostly against middle-of-the-road teams.
The Packers’ earlier matchup with Detroit was a weird one, with turnovers playing a big role. But the Lions still came out on top, and I expect them to handle their business again tonight.
Detroit is simply the more complete team. This is a swing game for the NFC North, and the Lions will make a statement. If they win, the division might be over for the Packers and Vikings. I’m comfortable taking Detroit at -3.5 (-104). If you want to grab a cleaner -3, you’ll likely pay a bit more juice, but that’s an option too.
Best Packers-Lions TNF Bet: Lions -3.5 (-104) at FanDuel
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