We cashed in on Tua Tagovailoa last week with ease dispute the blowout. The matchup not only gets easier for him but the game script likely favors Tagovailoa taking a backseat to the run game. Let’s dive into the Giants-Dolphins player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 5, which is a bet on Tua Tagovailoa.
Giants-Dolphins Player Prop Bet for Week 5
Giants-Dolphins Information
Expert: Justin Martin
Watch: FOX
When: Sunday, Oct. 8 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Fla.
Who: Tua Tagovailoa at FanDuel
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Giants-Dolphins Player Prop Pick: Tua Tagovailoa
Reality may have set in for the Miami Dolphins after their Week 4 loss to the Buffalo Bills. After a shootout in the first quarter and a half, the Bills put on a clinic to quiet the Dolphins. Led by Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs, the Bills outscored the Dolphins 34-13 in the final three quarters.
It’s no secret that the game script dictates these quarterback props. We backed Tua Tagovailoa last week, assuming that the Bills offense would have the Dolphins playing from behind. We read the script to perfection. Thanks to a perfect 7-for-7 start from Tagovailoa, his pass completion prop cashed with ease. Let’s turn to Week 5, where the Dolphins will play host to the disastrous New York Giants, who may be without star running back Saquon Barkley again. The Dolphins are 11.5-point favorites according to FanDuel, where they are also -670 on the moneyline.
As we saw on Monday Night Football between the New York Giants and Seattle Seahawks, quarterback Geno Smith didn’t have to do much at all. He attempted just 20 passes and failed to sustain drives. I expect Miami to have much more success sustaining drives, but with the run game being the main factor. The two-headed monster between Raheem Mostert and rookie De’Von Achane led the Dolphins to wins in Weeks 2 and 3 — resulting in Tagovailoa staying under this line. Miami’s rushing attack leads all of football in yards per game.
The rest of the market has this player prop settled at 33.5 pass attempts with the vig on the under. We’ll gladly take the better number and price for a prop that has hit in two of the three Miami wins this season.
Best Giants-Dolphins Player Prop: Tua Tagovailoa Under 34.5 Pass Attempts -114 at FanDuel
Hungry for more? Check out the rest of our NFL player props for Week 5! ➚➚
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