The Buffalo Bills suffered an embarrassing home loss last weekend, and they responded with some personnel changes. Let’s dive into the Jets-Bills player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 11, which is a bet on Josh Allen. If you’re hungry for more action, check out our NFL player prop bets, our NFL betting tools or our NFL betting promos!
Jets-Bills Player Prop Bet for Week 11
Jets-Bills Information
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Watch: CBS
When: Sunday, Nov. 19 at 4:25 p.m. ET
Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, N.Y.
Who: Josh Allen at Caesars
Jets-Bills Player Prop Pick for Josh Allen
The Denver Broncos handed Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills a brutal home loss on Monday Night Football last week. The Bills will remain at home for this one, but they’ll face a New York Jets team that beat them in overtime back in Week 1. The Bills have since fired their offensive coordinator, Ken Dorsey, replacing him with quarterbacks coach Joe Brady. Brady most recently worked as the offensive coordinator of the Carolina Panthers from 2020 to 2021. His tenure in Charlotte didn’t go well, but he now gets to work with Josh Allen, a major upgrade from his options in Carolina: Teddy Bridgewater, Sam Darnold and a washed-up Cam Newton.
Quarterback runs were a noticeable part of Brady’s playbook in Carolina. Bridgewater averaged a career-high 18.6 rushing yards per game with Brady. Likewise, Darnold also averaged a career-high 18.5 rushing yards per game with Brady. The two players, usually viewed more as pocket passers, averaged 3.5 and four rushing attempts per game, respectively. Brady now gets a mobile quarterback in the prime of his career, and I expect him to call plenty of effective quarterback runs for Allen.
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Allen’s matchup with the Jets also makes me eager to get action on the over. The Jets have coughed up the fourth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks this year with 275, good for 30.6 per game. Allen picked up 36 yards with his legs on six carries against them earlier this year. Allen ran for a total of 133 yards against the Jets last season, including a season-best 86-yard showing. New York’s impressive defensive line often forces opposing quarterbacks out of the pocket, and several have found ways to generate yards by scrambling: Patrick Mahomes ran for 51, Russell Wilson for 49 and Jalen Hurts for 47 in consecutive weeks back in October.
Best Jets-Bills Player Prop: Josh Allen Over 30.5 Rushing yards -115 at Caesars
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