Looking for the best Lions-Cardinals player prop for Sunday’s action? Our betting experts have you covered with this NFL expert pick. We’re locking in a James Conner player prop bet for Lions-Cardinals. If you need help finding sharp bets on your own, check out our NFL Week 3 player prop picks or our NFL player prop betting strategy guide!
Lions-Cardinals Player Prop: Best James Conner Bet
Lions-Cardinals Player Prop: Best James Conner Bet
The Detroit Lions invest heavily in the trenches. This is true on both sides of the football. The consequence of this is that they generate a ton of line yards on offense and allow very few on defense. Last week, Rachaad White averaged a measly 0.2 yards before contact per attempt. In Week 1, Kyren Williams averaged 1.3. It won’t be easy for Conner to do much on the ground.
The Lions are also a sizeable home favorite for this game, and while I’m bullish on the Cardinals in this spot, the game script undoubtedly calls for a pass-heavy attack, not a run-first approach. That could limit Conner’s volume. Through Week 2, Conner is averaging 18.5 rushing attempts per game, which should tick back down. He averaged only 16 last year.
Aside from Detroit’s steady defensive line, I’m also skeptical of Arizona’s offensive line. The unit ranks 24th in run-block win rate (70%) through two weeks. Nose tackle D.J. Reader will cause problems for them in the interior and should attract double teams, forcing tougher matchups on the edge. Reader posted a PFF grade of 82.2 last season.
Conner’s rushing yardage prop is as high as 61.5 at BetMGM. I doubt that it will close this high, so I recommend locking in the under while we’re over the 60-yard mark. It’s always a little sweaty when a single explosive play can cook us, but I’m willing to take my chances thanks to Detroit’s front seven.
Best NFL Week 3 Player Prop Pick: James Conner Under 61.5 Rushing Yards -110 at FanDuel
