NFL Commanders-Jets Anytime Touchdown Pick (Dec. 24)

Commanders-Jets Odds

Odds via bet365
Commanders: +140 | Jets -165
Commanders +3: -110 | Jets -3: -110
Over 37: -110 | Under 37: -110
When: Sunday, Dec. 24 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Isaiah Sirois

Garrett Wilson Anytime Touchdown

I don’t like to bet on meaningless football games, which is basically what we’ve got at the Meadowlands this week. The eliminated Washington Commanders will play the eliminated New York Jets with nothing on the line but individuals’ stats and draft positioning.

Still, with New York finally putting an actual quarterback under center, I’m targeting one of their receivers.

Trevor Siemian will make his first start for the New York Jets on Sunday, and that’s a major boost to everyone around him. The journeyman quarterback has struggled in two relief appearances, completing only 48.7% of his throws for 3.3 net yards per attempt (NY/A), but I have faith he’ll bounce back against a soft Commanders secondary. In games Siemian served as the starter, he has completed 59.1% of his throws for 5.8 NY/A, 37 touchdowns and 28 interceptions.

All of New York’s other quarterbacks have trusted Garrett Wilson in the red zone, so I expect Siemian to do the same. Wilson leads the Jets with 13 red-zone targets, good for 39.4% of the team’s total, along with seven targets inside the 10-yard line, good for 38.9% of the total.

The Jets may struggle to actually get in the red zone, but the Commanders have coughed up the second-most receiving touchdowns to wideouts per game this year (1.5), so I like Wilson at odds of +230 at Caesars.