NFL Commanders-Rams Anytime Touchdown Pick (Dec. 17)

Commanders-Rams Odds

Odds via bet365
Commanders: +245 | Rams: -305
Commanders +6.5: -110 | Rams -6.5: -110
Over 50.5: -110 | Under 50.5: -110
When: Sunday, Dec. 17 at 4:05 p.m. ET
Expert: Isaiah Sirois

Commanders-Rams Anytime Touchdown

We can get Cooper Kupp to score a touchdown in the plus money versus one of the NFL’s worst defenses against wide receivers in the red zone. And no, it isn’t because of bad weather — Kupp will play this one both at home and indoors. You don’t get it, I don’t get it, but the sharp books do — Kupp clocks in below even, or +100, at Pinnacle, because of course he should.

Buy Kupp as an anytime touchdown scorer at anything longer than even. Currently, the best price you’ll find is the +115 (46.5%) at FanDuel and PointsBet. Kupp leads the Rams in targets inside the 20-yard line (11) despite having missed Weeks 1 through 4. Kupp has only found paydirt three times on the year, but he has done so in each of his last two games.

The math supports this pick. Kupp scored in five of his nine appearances last year (55.6%). He scored in 11 of his 17 appearances a year before (64.7%). He has only scored in three of nine appearances this year (33.3%), but he also played less than 90% of the snaps in Weeks 9 through 12 as he nursed an injury.

Kupp now takes on a Washington Commanders defense that has coughed up a monstrous 20 receiving scores to wideouts this year. Although the Commanders are coming off a bye week, Tyreek Hill went for two scores in their last game. Along with Hill, Brandin Cooks, CeeDee Lamb, KaVontae Turpin and Darius Slayton have all gone for receiving scores in Washington’s last three games.