NFL Lions-Vikings Player Prop: Best Michael Badgley Bet (Dec. 24)

Lions-Vikings Odds

Odds via bet365
Lions: -160 | Vikings: +135
Lions -3: -110 | Vikings +3: -110
Over 47.5: -110 | Under 47.5: -110
When: Sunday, Dec. 24 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Isaiah Sirois

Michael Badgley Player Prop Bet

Kicker props are fun, I promise. We’re locking in a wager on Michael Badgley to record over 7.5 kicking points on Caesars for the sweet price of -104. This one is trading at -108 on Pinnacle, so we’re getting a margin edge relative to the sharp book’s price. Badgley may have just retaken the starting job last week, but I have faith in him here.

Badgley was Detroit’s starting kicker down the stretch last year. He wasn’t perfect — he missed four total field goal attempts, good for a conversion rate of 85.7%, but he never missed an extra point and tallied an average of 8.1 kicking points per game. Badgley relieved Jaret Patterson of his starting duties last week, and he hit all six of his extra-point attempts against the Denver Broncos.

The Detroit Lions will take on a Minnesota Vikings defense that boasts the third-fewest red-zone trips allowed per game (2.6) and the seventh-lowest touchdown conversion rate allowed on those trips (48.7%). However, that correlates to a lot of stalled-out drives, so Minnesota ranks 26th in field goals allowed per game (2). Badgley recorded 10 kicking points in his last matchup with the Minnesota defense.

The Vikings, like the Lions, played in a domed stadium. Badgley has been oddly inefficient indoors, converting only 95.8% of his extra points and 75% of his field goals inside, but those numbers feel more like noise than a signal. Although head coach Dan Campbell loves to go for it on fourth down, Badgley should get enough opportunities against this defense to feast on Sunday.