With the postseason finally here, there are now numerous new ways to enjoy some violence on blades of grass. It is why, because I am so kind, I’m going to let you in on my NFL Playoff rushing leader bet hack.
Edge is edge. I don’t care if it comes from years of studying, an algorithm, or in this case from someone else. I learned of this small edge from longtime capper Mike Mains, a profitable system in the form of the playoff rushing leader. We cashed Christian McCaffery last year in the OddsShopper discord – the only back to hit over 200 yards – and will apply a similar method for these playoffs. There are two key factors in identifying the winning ticket, so here are the top two options for the rushing leader in the NFL Playoffs!
NFL Playoff Rushing Leader Bet Hack
The number one factor in hitting this ticket is picking the most selfish back in the field. It’s not their fault, they’re simply the bell cow option who handles the majority of the workload. Anyone who is splitting time with a teammate isn’t going to cut it. Nobody who is sharing carries will succeed in leading the playoffs in rushing. Looking at the field there are truly only a small handful of backs who handle the majority, if not all, of the work.
The second factor is choosing a team playing in the wild card round that has the best chance of at least making it to the Conference Championship. The Niners were perfect candidates last year with McCaffery being the go to back and rolling into the NFC championship game. He cashed a ticket north of 5-1 despite not playing in the final game of the year. That’s the biggest mistake people make when betting this market, choosing a Super Bowl favorite, rather than a conference surprise. This eliminates both San Francisco and Baltimore from the conversation.
The Los Angeles Rams enter the playoffs as one of the top teams in combined EPA – shoutout to Walter from Walterfootball.com on our weekly OddsShopper show – plus have a dedicated back in Kyren Williams. Nobody on the team will touch the ball on the ground more than Williams so it’s just on the Rams to win a couple of games.
They face a soft Lions team dealing with playoff inexperience and the pressure of finally returning to the postseason. Not only does the narrative game favor Matthew Stafford coming back and winning in his long time home stadium, but also Stafford and the offense are revamped. It’s not just Aaron Donald wreaking havoc anymore as the Rams defense has played exceptionally well as of recent, enough to get to Jared Goff and limit explosive plays.
Williams at 13-1 on DraftKings is the best choice in the NFC. The Packers split carries, the Cowboys can turn on Tony Pollard in an instant, Detroit also splits carries, and the Bucs aren’t made for any deep run. The only other player that could steal the spotlight would be D’Andre Swift in Philadelphia, but that requires the Eagles to run the football. So, back to Williams.
Best NFL Playoff Rushing Leader Bet Hack: Kyren Williams +1800 NFL Playoff Rushing Leader (DraftKings)
Honorable Mention:
The other back we truly like to lead the NFL playoffs in rushing resides in the AFC. His team just needs to figure out a couple of small things on offense and then would launch into a deep postseason push. Despite looking downright awful, and stupid, on offense this year, they are still division winners and rather familiar with the postseason. One of the best quarterbacks, head coaches, and now defenses – the Kansas City Chiefs are live to hit the ground running. Let’s hope, because Isiah Pacheco is the spot here at 18-1.
Every other team in the AFC side of the playoffs has a carry share in their backfield. Even Buffalo where the main guy is the quarterback, to Miami dealing with a Raheem Mostert injury, to the Browns dealing with multiple options. No other team has a defined clear cut option that also carries the load like Pacheco. KC just needs to get hot.
Best NFL Playoff Rushing Leader Bet Hack: Isiah Pacheco +1800 NFL Playoff Rushing Leader (DraftKings)
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