We’re back in action with another full slate of NFL games and plenty of touchdown scorers to choose from in Week 10. As we focus on this weekend’s action, who are our experts going with as anytime touchdown scorers? We’ll discuss their NFL expert picks as we dive into our NFL Week 10 anytime touchdown scorer bets. If you need help finding sharp bets on your own, check out our guide to betting on NFL anytime touchdown scorers!
Giants-Panthers Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Week 10
Picks by Danny Burke
The NFL returns to the international stage in Munich, Germany, as the Carolina Panthers face off against the New York Giants.
Whenever the Panthers go up against a team with a strong running game, it catches my attention. Carolina’s defense has struggled mightily against the run, allowing the most rushing touchdowns per game in the league (1.7), ranking 31st in rush EPA and 30th in rush success rate.
On the Giants’ side, they’ve seen a recent surge from their backfield. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has taken over the starting role, averaging 15.4 carries for 83 yards over the last five games. He’s been the clear go-to in the red zone, with seven snaps compared to just one for Devin Singletary.
With New York likely to spend plenty of time in Carolina territory, Tracy should have plenty of scoring opportunities. Let’s start our Sunday early with a touchdown bet on Tracy.
Best NFL Week 10 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet: Tyrone Tracy Jr. +100 at BetMGM
Vikings-Jaguars Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Week 10
The Jacksonville Jaguars’ season just keeps spiraling downward. Not only are they sitting at a dismal 2-7 record, but they’re now likely to be without starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence. This means Mac Jones will step in under center.
Expecting any backup to thrive immediately is tough, but it’s an even bigger challenge against one of the best defenses in the league.
Minnesota’s defense ranks second in EPA per play and fourth in success rate allowed. The Vikings have also tallied nine more quarterback pressures than any other team and boast the highest blitz rate in the NFL.
This relentless pressure will make it difficult for Jones to move the ball, thus setting up Minnesota’s offense with prime field position throughout the game.
Sam Darnold will capitalize on these short field situations against a Jaguars defense that’s allowing two passing touchdowns per game and ranks last in dropback EPA. This matchup is ideal for targeting a touchdown bet on Minnesota’s top receiver. Justin Jefferson leads the team in red zone targets, and there’s little reason to expect that to change against a vulnerable Jacksonville secondary.
Best NFL Week 10 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet: Justin Jefferson -105 at DraftKings
Cardinals-Jets Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Week 10
While the public perception holds that the Jets defense is elite, the reality is different – especially against the run.
The Jets rank 26th in both defensive rush EPA and success rate. They’re giving up 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game and have allowed four rushing scores over their last three games. However, their pass defense is more reliable, holding opponents to fewer than one passing touchdown per game.
This could pose a challenge for Kyler Murray to find success through the air once the Cardinals enter the red zone, making tailback James Conner a main point of emphasis.
Conner has logged 33 red zone carries and found the end zone four times. I expect him to notch a fifth rushing touchdown in this matchup against a vulnerable Jets run defense.
Best NFL Week 10 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet: James Conner +100 at BetMGM
Bears-Patriots Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Week 10
Yes, here I am, once again betting on a Bears player to score a touchdown this week.
The Bears will host the Patriots on Sunday and are currently 6-point favorites. Believe it or not, Chicago holds the longest active home winning streak in the NFL with eight consecutive victories, and it’s looking likely that they’ll push that to nine.
You may be asking, “Danny, why do you continue to torture yourself by betting the Bears?” Well, because the Patriots have been awful, especially on defense, where they rank 29th in EPA per play allowed. Their run defense has been particularly weak, surrendering one rushing touchdown per game and ranking 22nd in rush EPA.
Now, deciding between D’Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson for a touchdown bet is tricky. Swift is the clear RB1 and has been fantastic, but near the goal line, the Bears have consistently turned to Johnson to finish drives. Johnson has four rushing touchdowns compared to Swift’s two, as Swift does the heavy lifting only to see his backup get the glory.
With that trend likely to continue, we should take advantage of the value in the betting markets. Swift is listed at around +115 to score, while Johnson offers much better pricing at +290.
In fact, Johnson is the only player in the NFL to have scored a touchdown on 100% of his carries inside the five-yard line this season (minimum of four carries). And if the Bears dominate this game as expected, Johnson could see even more opportunities in a blowout scenario.
Best NFL Week 10 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet: Roschon Johnson +290 at FanDuel
