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NFL Week 10 Betting Model Predictions (November 12)

Heading into NFL Week 10, OddsShopper is showing a bunch of value on player props for Sunday’s games. I am going to highlight a couple in this article, but there are dozens of great bets available in the betting model if you are looking to grow your bankroll this weekend. Let’s get to my top NFL Week 10 betting model predictions.

NFL Week 10 Betting Model Predictions | November 12

Before we get into my Week 10 analysis below, check out my results so far in 2023 using OddsShopper Premium’s betting model picks and other tools. If you are not using OddsShopper to find positive expected value and profit more, you should be.

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Jahan Dotson O/U 3.5 Receptions

Books are undervaluing Jahan Dotson’s recent involvement in the passing game heading into Week 10. After a slow start to the season, Dotson is coming alive and quickly becoming a top option for Sam Howell.

Last week, Dotson hauled in four catches for 69 yards with a touchdown. This was his third consecutive game with at four receptions and eight or more targets. Howell has targeted Dotson 26 times in the last three games. This makes over 3.5 receptions a very attainable prop.

NFL Week 10 Betting Model Prediction: Jahan Dotson Over 3.5 Receptions (-115) at Bet365

Jared Goff O/U 34.5 Pass Attempts

This is another situation where books are underrating volume. Just like how Dotson is seeing a lot of targets lately, Jared Goff is dropping to pass the slinging the football in recent games. Goff has 37 or more passing attempts in each of his last three games, averaging 44.67 attempts over this stretch.

Despite the above numbers, Goff has a relatively low prop of 34.5 pass attempts this week. He also finds himself in a matchup conducive to throwing the football. The Lions-Chargers game is expected to be the shootout of the week. The 48.5-point total is the highest mark of any game in Week 10.

NFL Week 10 Betting Model Prediction: Jared Goff Over 34.5 Pass Attempts (-105) at Bet365

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