Time is running out to make a move in your confidence pool. This is a great week to take some major chances while not going too far off the beaten path. Nobody is splitting an atom here but there are reasonable risks that can elevate your status in your weekly pool. It’s also a great way to distance yourself from the rest of the pack. . Here are our NFL Week 13 Confidence Pool Picks!
NFL Week 13 Confidence Pool Picks
NFL Week 13 Confidence Pool Picks Winners are in bold, upsets are marked with ***
13 Dallas Cowboys (-450) vs Seattle Seahawks
The Seattle Seahawks have been outgained in every contest so far and are trending in the wrong direction. The Dallas Cowboys have a chance to shred Seattle’s defense on the ground, reviving what’s been a rough overall year for Tony Pollard. The Cowboy’s defense is loaded with enough pressure to make
Geno Smith miserable all night. It’s a short week for both teams and there’s absolutely zero home field advantage in Seattle. Load up with Dallas at the top.
12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-225) vs. Carolina Panthers
Normally this would be a smash spot for the Panthers. We just saw this happen with the Raiders. Vegas fired their coach and the team rallied around the new guy. Mainly to distance themselves for the reason of the earlier failures. Tampa is certainly beatable despite having a decent season on offense.
The problem lies with Carolina’s QB. Bryce Young simply isn’t good enough to lead a scoring drive let alone a team to a win. Not even this level of motivation can save Carolina. Easy smash now for Tampa.
11 Atlanta Falcons (-144) at New York Jets
The Falcons are more than ok with running the football as much as humanly possible, and the Jets struggle mightily to slow down opposing backfields. This is a perfect matchup for Atlanta who only needs to show up on defense and not allow Tim Boyle to prevail.
Having this much of an advantage with one team’s running game is rare, primarily because of how much Atlanta is going to keep the ball out of Desmond Ridder’s hands. Either way, he’s not worse than Tim Boyle… right?
10 Los Angeles Rams (-180) vs Cleveland Browns
The Browns have multiple guys either down or dealing with significant injury. Dorian Thompson Robinson is questionable as he progresses through the concussion protocol. More importantly, Myles Garrett is playing through a notable shoulder injury. He’s the most important piece. If the Browns can’t get to Matthew Stafford, they stand very little chance in keeping up with LA’s offense.
As bad as things have been for the Rams, they’ve won two straight and should pounce on a possible Joe Flacco sighting at QB.
9. Los Angeles Chargers (-255) at New England Patriots
Things are bad in LA for the Chargers. They’ve dropped three straight and are on the verge of being the league’s greatest underachiever this year. Things in New England are far worse. To anyone expecting any magical upset, where exactly does any advantage lie with New England?
There’s no home field advantage, more people are showing up to boo than cheer. The Patriots are so inefficient on offense combined with their lack of talent. It doesn’t matter who the QB is, as we all saw last week, this team is prone to turnovers on any drive.
8- Indianapolis Colts (-118) at Tennessee Titans**
First big dog of the list lies in Nashville as this is familiar territory for Mike Vrabel. A dangerous home dog, Vrabel is also a short one against visiting Indy. The Colts are winners of three straight and have done most of their damage on the road – 4-1 away from Indy.
The Titans are the opposite, winless on the road with all four victories coming at home. The Titans still aren’t great but they held off the Panthers last weekend and have a chance to play a massive spoiler on Sunday.
7- San Francisco 49ers (-146) at Philadelphia Eagles**
The Eagles opened as quick favorites before the Niners were bet into oblivion. Even while writing this, Philly +3 is out there. That’s just absurd for a couple of obvious reasons. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles have led multiple comebacks this year down 10+ at the half. They have overcome every possible mental mistake and still came out on top.
People think the Niners are exacting some major revenge – which is a thing in the NFL – but the way the Eagles were slandered, and the ensuing trash talk that followed, it’s easy to say both teams had this circled. This is the perfect smelling salts to put in front of the Eagles, preventing any sleepwalk ahead of Dallas.
6- Houston Texans (-184) vs Denver Broncos
Things didn’t end according to plan last week as the Texans saw their hopes bounce off the crossbar. They get a solid chance to bounce back against a highly overrated Denver Broncos team. It’s not that they haven’t earned recent praise in Denver, but this belief they’ve turned a corner as a contender is absurd. They’ve won five straight but still own a -34 point differential.
Houston still has CJ Stroud who nearly willed his team to victory again last week, and while Denver’s defense is playing better, they won’t be able to contain Stroud from making plays. Russell Wilson’s recent stretch isn’t going to last against the Texans defense. Houston may keep it close but will pull away.
5- Kansas City Chiefs (-280) at Green Bay Packers
KC certainly makes it interesting. They stormed back against the Raiders last week after dropping multiple chances to beat Philadelphia. Unfortunately for Green Bay, they simply can’t keep up the level of intensity needed to knock off Detroit on Thanksgiving. They get an extra few days to prepare for the inevitable.
The Chiefs are far from their dominant form seen just last year, but they still have one of the most talented tandems in the NFL, so long as Travis Kelce holds on to the football. Jordan Love is playing better and the defense held against Detroit, but KC is running out of down weeks to still prepare for a playoff push. Expect Patrick Mahomes to be focused and his receivers to catch some big passes.
4- Jacksonville Jaguars (-375) vs Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are a shell without Joe Burrow but they were still able to move the football last week. There’s talent on the field for Cincy even if it’s not at the QB spot. They will have a plan. That in its own right won’t do much, but Jacksonville stands a decent chance of just overlooking this Burrow-less Bengals team.
The Jags are super talented and have an amazing defense to compliment Trevor Lawrence. Dropping them limits liability if in fact Cincy does pull off one of those “any given Sunday” type victories. Don’t be shocked if this one is close down to the wire.
3- Miami Dolphins (-480) at Washington Commanders
Same scenario here with Miami. This just limits the damage if in fact Washington finds a weird way to move the ball in the air to match Miami. Sam Howell has thrown the ball rather well overall, and the Commanders could move fast with enough scoring to keep their broken down defense in the game.
Normally, Miami would be a higher play but this is more a safe spot for a desperate Washington offense.
2- Detroit Lions (-198) at New Orleans Saints**
The Lions just have to bounce back after dropping a home game to Green Bay. Or at least that’s the growing narrative heading into Week 13. The Saints dropped a game in which they typically struggle, a road favorite behind both Derek Carr and Dennis Allen. This is where they normally return the favor as home dogs.
OddsShopper has the ML for this game slightly below 1-2 for Detroit, which is still low despite the Saints struggles. We just saw what happens if a defense pressures Jared Goff and the Saints are better than the Packers. Expect a lower scoring slugfest where the Saints get by on pass rush alone.
1- Pittsburgh Steelers (-240) vs Arizona Cardinals
Sure, things look better in Pittsburgh without Matt Canada but Pittsburgh is still struggling to outgain opponents. The Cards are just in such bad shape it’s hard to put anything more than a prayer on them. Even with Kyler Murray back, Arizona leaks oil and points on defense.
New coach or not, the Cardinals are back to some old-fashioned struggles, including Murray not doing himself any favors. Yes, Pittsburgh should win, but their offense hasn’t proven much on a consistent factor either.
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