The NFL playoffs are right around the corner. Who will give that extra effort to get their team to the postseason by scoring a touchdown — or to cash a contract incentive? Our staff of Isaiah Sirois and Justin Martin have identified several sharp betting angles to exploit, and OddsShopper’s model has identified plenty of other options as well. Here are the players to watch and picks to make on the NFL anytime touchdown scorer betting markets for Week 18, including DeAndre Hopkins, for Jaguars-Titans, Vikings-Lions and Buccaneers-Panthers — if you’re looking for other player props, check out our staff player prop picks or our NFL betting model’s picks!
NFL Week 18 Anytime Touchdown Bets: Picks for Jaguars-Titans & More
NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 18 | Jaguars-Titans
Jaguars-Titans Odds
Odds via BetMGM
Jaguars: -225 | Titans: +180
Jaguars -4.5: -110 | Titans +4.5: -110
Over 42.5: -110 | Under 42.5: -110
When: Sunday, Jan. 7 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
DeAndre Hopkins Anytime Touchdown
DeAndre Hopkins can make an extra $250,000 in contract incentives with another two touchdown receptions. While I’m not sure if he can get there, you can buy him at odds of +210 at FanDuel to score once (he is +2000 to score twice). I like that number more than enough to play it despite the Tennessee Titans being long since eliminated.
Hopkins will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars secondary, which hasn’t been all that good against wideouts this year. They have coughed up the 13th-most receiving yards per game to wideouts (161) and the fifth-most receiving touchdowns to the position (1.1). The Jaguars held Hopkins scoreless earlier this year, but he has six receiving touchdowns on the year. His 16 red-zone targets is good for 17th among all players.
While you’ll find this bet priced at +210 on FanDuel, it’s at a shorter price just literally everywhere else. He clocks in at +175 on Pinnacle, a sharp book. Caesars lists it at +188 while DraftKings has it at +165. We’re getting more than enough edge on the market to warrant a wager on Hopkins with his contract incentives in play.
Best NFL Week 18 Anytime Touchdown Bet: DeAndre Hopkins +210 at FanDuel
NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 18 | Vikings-Lions
Vikings-Lions Odds
Odds via BetMGM
Vikings: +155 | Lions: -190
Vikings +3.5: -110 | Lions -3.5: -110
Over 46: -110 | Under 46: -110
When: Sunday, Jan. 7 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Justin Martin
Justin Jefferson Anytime Touchdown
It hasn’t been the season Justin Jefferson envisioned, but that’s not because of a lack of production. Health has been the concern, as Jefferson has played in just nine games this season, but that’s equated to four 100-yard receiving games, including two weeks ago against the same Detroit Lions team he’ll face off against on Sunday.
Not only did Jefferson reel in six catches for 131 yards the last time he played the Lions, but he pulled down a ridiculous touchdown in the corner of the endzone before halftime.
The books expect a pass-heavy game script from the Vikings and Nick Mullens. His passing yards prop is up to 265.5 on FanDuel, while Jefferson’s receiving line is hovering around 95.5 – joining the likes of Tyreek Hill and CeeDee Lamb in Week 18 to have receiving lines that high. The Lions’ kryptonite this season has been receivers hurting them through the air. Last week, CeeDee Lamb eclipsed 200 yards and found the endzone. He should’ve had two touchdowns if he hadn’t fumbled at the 1-yard line.
With Mullens back under center, I have complete faith in Justin Jefferson on Sunday. I like him to score a touchdown at plus money. He has scored just four touchdowns this season but has been peppered with targets from Mullens. In the last three games that the two have suited up together, Jefferson has logged three straight games of 10-plus targets. With the unfortunate news that T.J. Hockenson’s season is over, Mullens will have no other option but to sling the ball toward Jefferson’s way.
Best NFL Week 18 Anytime Touchdown Bet: Justin Jefferson +100 at BetMGM
NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 18 | Buccaneers-Panthers
Buccaneers-Panthers Odds
Odds via bet365
Buccaneers: -225 | Panthers: +180
Buccaneers -4: -110 | Panthers +4: -110
Over 36.5: -110 | Under 36.5: -110
When: Sunday, Jan. 7 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Rachaad White Anytime Touchdown
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers can clinch the NFC East with a win over the Carolina Panthers in Charlotte on Sunday. The last time these teams met, running back Rachaad White ran for 84 yards and a score on 20 carries, adding another 22 yards on three receptions. White now has nine total scores on the season.
You’ll find White listed at odds of +100 to score a touchdown at Fanatics and PointsBet. Every other book has him south of even. Pinnacle, a sharp book, lists him at odds of -114 to find paydirt. DraftKings and BetMGM have him at -135. Caesars even has this at -150.
The primary reason to target White is Carolina’s defense. The Panthers have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game to running backs (109.4) and the most rushing touchdowns (1.3). An opposing running back has found the end zone in Carolina’s last nine games.
White gets plenty of touches in the red zone. He has logged 36 carries inside the 20-yard line and eight inside the five. No other Tampa Bay running back has more than four rushing attempts inside the 20, and none have a carry inside the five.
White’s only competition near the goal line will be quarterback Baker Mayfield, but with him banged up, I don’t expect the Buccaneers to risk his health on anything more than a quarterback sneak.
Best NFL Week 18 Anytime Touchdown Bet: Rachaad White +100 at Fanatics
OddsShopper’s NFL Tools & Tips
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