The NFL is back with a loaded Sunday card. We’ll have wall-to-wall football starting in the morning from London through the Sunday Night Football contest from Pittsburgh. If you’re just starting out with sports betting, I recommend you read our NFL player prop betting strategy guide. Anyway, here are the top NFL player prop picks for Week 5!
NFL Week 5 Player Prop Picks & Predictions
NFL Week 5 Player Prop Picks & Predictions for Jaleel McLaughlin & More
Instead of thinking about sports betting in entertainment terms, start thinking about sports betting in finance terms. If you want your hobby to make you money, you need to be intentional about your process. You can’t win every bet (and there is no such thing as a lock!). Professional bettors playing -110 lines are happy with a 55-60% win rate.
At OddsShopper, our Portfolio EV sports betting tools have gone 542-447 (7% ROI) on all NFL player props with an OS Rating of 2 or higher so far this season. This includes a ridiculous 218-153 (10.8% ROI) on receiving yardage props alone. With our tools, you can get down tons of bets with positive expected value (+EV) quickly.
To help you get started building your portfolio of NFL player prop bets for Week 5, tail these plays:
Here are the top three NFL player props for Week 5, according to Portfolio EV, as of publication. Note that these can change quickly — click here for more +EV NFL bets!
The tool works by indexing the odds from across the sports betting landscape to calculate a breakeven price for each wager, called “true odds”. With that number computed, we can calculate the +EV of each line at every book.
Today, the top three NFL player prop picks were all at Fanatics, where we are 117-91 (6.5%) this season. You can find all of our +EV betting results posted here — unlike some of our competitors, we are complete transparent about our outcomes.
The top play is for Denver Broncos running back Jaleel McLaughlin. Although we can get him to go over 25.5 rushing yards for -120 at Fanatics, the same bet is -170 at DraftKings. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has the total at 31.5 (and the over at -106)!
As we go down the board, we see bets for Cincinnati Bengals wideout Andrei Iosivas and Minnesota Vikings tight end Johnny Mundt.
Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NFL player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month — or you can get a free month by signing up with one of our partner sites.
