Packers-Cowboys Same-Game Parlay Picks: The Jordan Love Era Begins (1/14/23)

The first of now two games on Sunday begins in Dallas with the Packers in town, looking to ruin one of the better Cowboys regular seasons in recent memory. The punchline for quite some time, this is where Dallas can turn around decades of failing to hoist another Super Bowl trophy, but it starts with a tough one against the Packers. This line already moved from 7.5 down to the key number, rightfully so as Jordan Love has been lights out over the second half of the season. Let’s get to our favorite Packers-Cowboys same-game parlay picks!

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Packers-Cowboys Same-Game Parlay Picks

Leg 1 (Green Bay Packers +7.5)

We gain the hook by starting with this leg on BetMGM. Love has a ridiculous 18:1 TD to INT ratio since the eighth week of the season, making the Packers one of the hottest teams coming into the postseason. The Super Bowl drought for Dallas is real. The Cowboys are just 4-12 ATS in the playoffs since 1997, with Prescott 2-4 along the way. Be it a tight loss or blowout disappointment, Dallas has seen it all in failures to reach the final game of the tournament.

Green Bay is good enough on offense now to match firepower with Prescott and CeeDee Lamb, even in Dallas. The Cowboys just haven’t fared well against playoff teams this year, and now face Mike McCarthy’s old team. Nobody on Green Bay cares about that in this matchup; they are far too focused on pulling off the upset. McCarthy and his guys are the tight ones with all the pressure, not only having to win the game but cover a TD spread with history against their opponent.

The Packers are trending towards having both Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs on Sunday, which only helps breakout rookie Jayden Reed. When healthy, Love is throwing to a better overall receiving core, knowing that Lamb is the best talent between the two. Love may have enough time to get this thing done and win outright. In their games against playoff opponents, the Cowboys generated significantly less of a pass rush.

Leg 2 (Jordan Love 2+ Passing TDs)

Leg 3 (Dak Prescott O/U 279.5 Passing Yards)

There are two ways to look at this prop, both getting to the same end of Prescott clearing the total. If for some reason the Packers do wind up slowing things down, keeping the Cowboys offense off the field – at least early – the Cowboys will be hard pressed to throw throw throw. Mike McCarthy has a lot riding on this game, from revenge to possibly his job. Nobody who’s watched Dallas this year would tell him to rely on the ground game.

Prescott has a rough playoff history and also plenty riding on this one. Expect to take matters into his own hands not only throwing the football, but repeatedly hitting favorite targets in Lamb and Jake Ferguson. Prescott averages over 300 yards per game at home and is taking on a Packers secondary bottom third in passing yards per attempt.

Already establishing a pass-first approach by the Cowboys and Prescott should hit the 300 mark, yet again at home. He’s going to need to give the Cowboys defense a cushion which turns up the aggressive plays right away. Dallas struggled to sack the QB in games against playoff teams, and can’t stop the run no matter who they play.