The Los Angeles Rams looked feisty to start the year, but their terrible offensive line has cost them over the last two weeks. Consecutive losses to the San Francisco 49ers and Cincinnati Bengals have exposed them as a bottom-six unit. Let’s dive into the Rams-Colts player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 4, which is a bet on Kwity Paye.
Rams-Colts Player Prop Bet for Week 4
Rams-Colts Information
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Watch: FOX
When: Sunday, Oct. 1 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
Who: Kwity Paye at DraftKings
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Rams-Colts Player Prop Pick
The Indianapolis Colts will host the Los Angeles Rams early on Sunday afternoon, and quarterback Matthew Stafford is in for another bruising. The Rams have not invested in their offensive line at all, and it’s led to Stafford taking seven sacks across three games. The Rams rank an awful 27th in pass-block win rate (46%). Their tackles have been terrible — left tackle Joe Noteboom owns a PFF grade of 45.5, while right tackle Rob Havenstein owns a 58.6. Their best performer has been backup center Coleman Shelton who owns a 67.5.
The bad Rams offensive line now has a road game with the Colts, and Indianapolis has been surprisingly good at rushing the passer. The Colts rank eighth in pass-rush win rate (50%) and have racked up an impressive 12 sacks, which is tied with the Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills for third. Defensive end Kwity Paye has been a key part of their success. He has racked up three sacks — one in each game — to go with a team-high six pressures. With the Colts usually lining him up on the edge, he’ll benefit from the Rams’ struggles at tackle.
You can find Paye priced at +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook to record at least a half-sack. Although his hot start to the year isn’t likely to be sustainable, Paye averaged a half-sack per game last year, cashing the over in five of his 12 appearances. However, what stands out to me is that Paye averaged only 1.6 pressures per game last year but is already averaging two per game this year. The third-year player has been developing nicely, and I expect him to do some damage in the backfield again in Week 4.
Hungry for more? Check out the rest of our NFL player props for Week 4! ➚➚
Best Rams-Colts Player Prop: Kwity Paye Over 0.25 Sacks +120 at DraftKings
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