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Rams-Packers Player Prop for Week 9: Best Aaron Jones Bet (Nov. 5)

The Los Angeles Rams have some serious injury questions swirling for their Week 9 matchup with the Green Bay Packers. We have much to discuss, so let’s dive right into the Rams-Packers player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 9, which is a bet on Aaron Jones. If you’re hungry for more action, check out the rest of our NFL player prop bets, our NFL betting tools or our NFL betting promos!

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Rams-Packers Player Prop Bet for Week 9

Rams-Packers Information 

Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Watch: FOX
When: Sunday, Nov. 5 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisc.
Who: Aaron Jones at FanDuel

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Rams-Packers Player Prop Pick for Aaron Jones

The Green Bay Packers do not have a viable offense. Quarterback Jordan Love has struggled to move the ball downfield, and head coach Matt LaFleur has been reticent to let him. The Packers are coming off a 14-point home loss to the Minnesota Vikings in which Love went 24-for-41 for just 4.4 net yards per attempt (NY/A), largely because he routinely opted for short-yardage looks. Although Green Bay’s inefficient offense is bad for Packers fans, it creates an opportunity for sports bettors.

The Packers will take on the Los Angeles Rams this weekend. While the Rams have struggled to stop many types of offensive plays, dump-off passes to running backs haven’t been one of them. The Rams have coughed up a league-low 132 receiving yards to the position on the year. However, they haven’t faced an offense with as miserable of a receiving corps as Green Bay’s this season. Despite having missed multiple games, Jones is sixth on the Packers in receiving yards (121). He is fourth in receiving yards per game (30.3).

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One look at OddsShopper’s model reveals that there is plenty of value in backing Jones to go over 20.5 receiving yards. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has his total set to 21.5 with the juice stacked heavily on the over, but we can get a one-yard discount for a much friendlier price at FanDuel. While other offenses have looked to wide receivers and tight ends against the Rams, Jones often does his damage as a receiver when split out wide. His high route participation rate (33.1%) means he should get plenty of chances to contribute. Look for the Packers to feature their star running back in a must-win home game.

Best Rams-Packers Player Prop: Aaron Jones Over 20.5 Receiving Yards -114 at FanDuel

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Isaiah Sirois

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Isaiah Sirois

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