The NFL has shipped the Tennessee Titans and Baltimore Ravens abroad for this Sunday’s game from London. This game would’ve taken place in Nashville, so the Titans lose a home game. Each week, I post my NFL breakdowns early and provide updates later in the week, and you can find the rest of my Week 6 picks here. Let’s dig into Sunday’s Ravens-Titans betting odds as we make our predictions and pick the best NFL Week 6 bet!
Ravens-Titans Pick & Betting Prediction | NFL Week 6
Ravens-Titans Betting Odds
Odds via Bet365
Ravens: -240 | Titans: +200
Ravens -5.5: -110 | Titans +5.5: -110
Over 42.5: -110 | Under 42.5: -110
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Time: Sunday, Oct. 15 at 9:30 a.m. ET
Ravens-Titans Pick & Prediction
The Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans will do battle across the pond from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday morning. Both teams are coming off bitter divisional losses. The Titans had a chance to get a go-ahead touchdown against the Colts but failed to convert on fourth and short with Derrick Henry. The Ravens were beating the Steelers despite numerous offensive blunders until late in the fourth quarter, at which point Kenny Pickett threw a long go-ahead touchdown pass to George Pickens — and Lamar Jackson fumbled on a potential comeback drive to seal the defeat.
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The Ravens may have dropped the ball by losing in Week 5 — Lord knows that their receivers did — but they’re still the far better team. Unlike last week, neither side in the London matchup will have spent the prior week across the pond. Both teams are making the trip after road games. The Ravens outrank the Titans in almost every expected points added (EPA) -based metric: Baltimore is sixth in EPA per rush, 24th in EPA per dropback, sixth in EPA allowed per rush and second in EPA allowed per dropback; Tennessee is 15th in EPA per rush, 15th in EPA per dropback, 11th in EPA allowed per rush and 27th in EPA allowed per dropback.
Tennessee’s struggles against the pass make this a fantastic get-right spot for a talented but underperforming cast of receivers in Baltimore. The Titans have coughed up the fifth-most receiving yards to wideouts (984) and the ninth-most passing yards to quarterbacks (1,317). The Titans have struggled to stop the pass despite ranking seventh in pass-rush win rate (52%), which falls on the secondary — starting cornerback Kristian Fulton owns a disastrous PFF grade of 43.6 due to surrendering 12.7 yards per target and a passer rating of 118.7. He starts opposite Sean Murphy-Bunting, who has coughed up 8.8 yards per target and a passer rating of 117.9.
Baltimore’s passing offense may be inefficient, but it is loaded with potential, and that will be on full display in London on Sunday. New offensive coordinator Todd Monken was brought in to rejuvenate the passing offense, so the fact Baltimore owns a higher rushing play percentage through Week 5 than it did through all of last season speaks to some growing pains. But with the line they’re hanging this week, the books are asking us whether the Ravens are a 4-point better team than the Titans, and, given their untapped potential and the defense’s comparative advantage over Tennessee, I’m willing to buy Baltimore to cover against a bad secondary.
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The Ravens were trading as a 4-point favorite when the early week column went up, but they’re now up to a 5.5-point favorite at almost every public book. The line movement isn’t because of late-breaking injury news — it’s largely because of sharp action. The Ravens have drawn 77% of the cash on 63% of the tickets, per Pregame. While I’m not personally getting more action down on the new number, I still think the Ravens have value at anything under the key number of six. Lock this one in at BetMGM or any major public book before the line moves again.
Ravens-Titans NFL Week 6 Pick: Baltimore -5.5 -110 at BetMGM
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