A little thirsty for some Thursday Night Football first touchdown action? We got you covered with our Seahawks-Cowboys first touchdown picks, as well as a general overview of how things should shake out.
Thursday night in Dallas should provide far less of a sweat for the game’s first score than last Monday in Minnesota. That game’s first TD came deep into the contest, a fourth quarter touchdown to be exact. Both the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks have the offensive potential to put up points, Dallas rather quickly, so jumping on early value is key here. Seattle and Dallas have established pass catchers and are each dealing with some injury news, especially Seattle’s Geno Smith playing through an elbow injury.
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Seahawks-Cowboys First Touchdown Picks | Thursday Night Football
Seattle Seahawks Touchdown Scorer
Tonight’s game, more specifically targeting its first TD, is based on the “other” option. Be it Seattle or Dallas, the other option at receiver open the most value for securing the first touchdown. Now it’s on their respective QBs to get them the football. Dallas has a suffocating and opportunistic defense, which should immediately put pressure on Smith. Seattle’s offense has looked pedestrian as Smith struggles through injury, but that’s not Dallas’ problem – rather an opening.
One of the ways Seattle’s offense becomes neutralized is by taking out DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, easier said than done, but something certainly attainable for the Cowboys. Added pressure on Smith makes things even more difficult for the Seahawks, especially with an thin backfield. This leaves two options for Seattle if they can get around early pressure, taking advantage of quick throws by their QB. The first is Zach Charbonnet, the lead back now for Seattle who also is involved in the passing game. A good DFS option, and possibly ATTD play, but hard to think he carries an opening drive past Dallas.
The best play is Seattle’s Jaxson Smith-Njigba, their slot receiver who should thrive off extra focus on Metcalf – and Lockett to a lesser extent. Seattle’s rookie pass catcher was still productive in a blowout loss to San Francisco, and amassing at least 5 targets in each of his previous three games. He’s the play to score first for the Seahawks.
Seahawks-Cowboys First Touchdown Picks: Jaxson Smith-Njigba +1400 at Caesars for 0.25 Units
Dallas Cowboys First Touchdown Scorer
There’s a fine line between finding deeper value and simply ignoring common sense. The common sense approach looks at CeeDee Lamb and Tony Pollard, expecting both to be the best choices for a first TD. That’s backed by their lower odds, sitting at chalk with Pollard +400 and Lamb +450. Both of them are at the top of this list for a reason – they should destroy Seattle’s defense.
Finding the third option is a little more difficult for Dallas as they are thin at the running back position, even if Rico Dowdle plays, he’s doing it through injury. Brandin Cooks is a fine option as he’s seen an increase in target share and just overall looks from Prescott, but he shares the same number with a better option, tight end Jake Ferguson.
Dak cooled off a little with Ferguson the past two games, but those were massive blowouts of Washington and Carolina. Before that, Ferguson was a staple in the end zone with three straight games scoring a touchdown. Seattle won’t be able to stop everyone and Ferguson should have plenty of early options in the middle of the field. Even the red zone becomes a massive target opportunity for Ferguson, and at 9-1 he’s worth a strong play.
Seahawks-Cowboys First Touchdown Picks: Jake Ferguson +900 at Caesars for 0.25 Units
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