The Steelers and Ravens have made OddsShopper‘s job interesting when it comes to identifying bets for a parlay. Almost all of the props at the top of OddsShopper’s board are favoring a certain type of game script, one that is further evidenced by the game total. With that in mind, today’s Sunday night Steelers-Ravens parlay — which comes via FanDuel — is jumping on the game total with player props that project that script.
Of course, don’t forget to check out OddsShopper’s Parlay Builder, as it is the best resource for constructing parlays for any NFL slate.
Steelers-Ravens Parlay: Week 17 Sunday Night Football
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Demarcus Robinson UNDER 3.5 Receptions (-162)
Sunday Night Football’s game total is just 35, one of the lowest of the week, so valuable overs on anyone involved with either passing game are going to be hard to come by. Demarcus Robinson gets the top spot for expected win rate among OddsShopper’s player props, as his under on 3.5 receptions projects to win a whopping 81% of the time. This prop also has by far the highest ROI of any bet for this matchup.
Robinson has gone over this line in three of five games that Tyler Huntley has started, but tonight he gets a Steelers defense that has allowed the seventh-fewest completions in 2022. And though the Ravens are not exactly teeming with receiving talent, Stokastic is only projecting Robinson for 2.4 receptions tonight.
Kenny Pickett UNDER 1.5 Touchdowns Passing (-265)
There really is not reason for Kenny Pickett‘s touchdown line to be 1.5 and not 0.5. He has yet to throw multiple touchdowns in his career (10 starts) and has only thrown one touchdown in half of those. This is not a great environment to break that streak either; Baltimore’s defense is averaging only 1.13 touchdowns passing allowed per game, which is seventh best in the NFL.
The only downside is the line, as -265 makes this bet pretty low in value on its own. As such, its expected ROI is not very appealing. But as part of a parlay, a 71% expected win rate is all that really matters here. The other props will up the value of the parlay on the whole.
Pat Freiermuth UNDER 37.5 Yards Receiving (-110)
Like with Robinson, Pat Freiermuth is going to have to overcome a projected slog of a game environment. Hitting this over has been about a 50-50 proposition for Freiermuth in 2022, even though the targets have been fairly consistent with Pickett at quarterback. As such, it makes sense to side with the under since this game is unlikely to have much passing.
Stokastic projects Freiermuth for 36.2 yards receiving, which is cutting it close, but the expected win rate is still over 60% and the ROI is second highest of the FanDuel slate.
If you are looking for some bets in order to put together a high-risk, high-reward parlay, DraftKings is letting new users bet $5 on a moneyline and you win $200 if your team is victorious! With $200 in bets, you can up the stakes on your same-game parlays with some riskier prop bets that are of no cost to you.
Total Steelers-Ravens Parlay Odds: +325
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