I had to use a steel wool pad to scrub my eyes after watching that Raiders-Lions game on Monday. Jimmy Garoppolo being absolute trash cost us a 5-leg same-game parlay win. The good thing about the NFL is we don’t have to wait long to fire up another bet with our Titans-Steelers same-game parlay for Thursday Night Football. The only downfall? The quarterback play might not get much better with Mitchell Trubisky and Will Levis.
Lucky for us, the betting gods have gifted us some juicy Titans-Steelers parlay boosts, so we can tinker with some lines and make a palatable slip despite sus quarterbacks. We’re heading over to the 50% same-game parlay profit boost with our friends from bet365 and building our card there.
Strap on your hard hat, friends. It’s time to build.
Titans-Steelers Same Game Parlay Bet for Thursday Night Football
Derrick Henry OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards (TNF Player Prop)
Would you believe me if I told you Derrick Henry over 12.5 receiving yards has won at a 71% clip this year? You should. Henry has looked great — as we always knew he would — as a receiver this year, he just needed his coaches to stop being dolts and allow him to get targeted. In Levis’ first game, Henry saw four targets and caught them all for 21 yards. It’s hard to bring down this load in the open field, so he might only need ONE catch to cross this number. Henry will get his usual 2 to 4 targets in this game and get us started right in this Titans-Steelers parlay.
Derrick Henry 50+ Rushing Yards (Alt Player Prop)
The 71% mark seems to be wild today. Henry has also hit the 50-yard rushing mark in five of seven games this season. The Steelers allow the fourth-most yards to opposing running backs this season, and Henry will likely see somewhere in the neighborhood of 15 to 18 carries, with as many as 22 being a realistic number. The fella averages 4.4 yards per carry, and fancy that, Pittsburgh is giving up 4.4 yards per carry this season as well. This 50-plus number should be a breeze for Henry.
DeAndre Hopkins 3+ Receptions (Alt Player Prop)
It was turn-back-the-clock DeAndre Hopkins last week. He went NUK-lear … you, uh, see what I did there? All terrible jokes aside, he finally looked like a real receive with a quarterback that could get him the ball and not be sacked in 0.3 seconds every dropback. We’re looking for three or more receptions tonight from Hopkins, which seems very doable. Stunningly, he has at least three catches in all but one game this season despite the flaming pile of garbage Tennessee had been rolling out at quarterback all year. Levis will likely lean on his veteran receiver again this week, so let’s fire up the three-plus catches for Hopkins.
Diontae Johnson 3+ Receptions (Alt Player Prop)
It was a great sight to see Diontae Johnson getting WORK in that first quarter of last week’s game. Dude was getting peppered with target more than I pepper my mashed potatoes on Thanksgiving (cuz gravy is trash). He had 7 targets from Kenny Pickett before he went out with injury and Trubisky took over. However, he received another 7 targets from Trubs, so we shouldn’t be concerned about him not getting looks. The Titans are weakest in the secondary. Only the 49ers and Eagles are allowing more receptions per game to wide receivers, and it’s because they’ve generally got teams trailing so badly they are forced to chuck it early and often. We pushed this number down to 3 on the off chance we just get the Trubisky WOAT game, but the Titans defense might just be bad enough he gets us home.
Field Goals Made OVER 1.5 (Alt Game Prop)
This is one of my favorite sweeteners for parlays at bet365. The ole total field goals made prop. It’s been good to us so far this season, and there’s no reason to think it won’t continue to bet. With Levis and Trubisky leading the offenses, there’s a higher probability of stalled drives and the coaches will see points as premium. So, they’ll be more inclined to kick the field goal and put some points on the board. We’ll just call this one old reliable (this will definitely be the leg that kills us now … watch ☠️).
Final Titans-Steelers Same-Game Parlay Bet for Thursday Night Football
Leg 1: Derrick Henry OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards (TNF Player Prop)
Leg 2: Derrick Henry 50+ Rushing Yards (Alt TNF Player Prop)
Leg 3: DeAndre Hopkins 3+ Receptions (Alt TNF Player Prop)
Leg 4: Diontae Johnson 3+ Receptions (Alt TNF Player Prop)
Leg 4: Field Goals Made OVER 1.5 (Alt Game Prop)
= +360 bet365 Sportsbook (w/50% Boost)
OddsShopper’s NFL Tools & Tips
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There’s a ton of betting value on tonight’s NBA slate.
For every 50 likes this post gets, I’ll reply below in a thread with one of tonight’s bets (I’ve placed 18 so far).
These are my betting results for the year so far using @OddsShopper : pic.twitter.com/AYREFpbSUc
— Greg Ehrenberg (@gehrenbergdfs) November 1, 2023
