This week’s Monday Night Football matchup features two teams that have completely underperformed expectations – particularly on the defensive front. With that in mind, we have plenty of offensive props to consider for tonight’s game. Let’s look to attack those weak defenses with my two favorite NFL Underdog Fantasy pick’em predictions for the game!
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Underdog Fantasy NFL Pick’em Predictions Today
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Chase Brown H/L Than 74.5 Rushing Yards
Since Week 4, Bengals rookie running back Chase Brown has been a force in the backfield, averaging 15.3 carries for 64 yards per game at over four yards per attempt.
Tonight, he faces his most favorable matchup yet against the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys’ run defense ranks last in EPA per play allowed, 31st in rushing yards allowed per game (148), and 29th in yards per carry (4.9).
Stokastic’s industry-leading NFL DFS projections have Brown slated for 19 carries and over 86 rushing yards – well above his current prop line. With the Bengals favored by 5.5 points, game flow could work in Brown’s favor, as Cincinnati is likely to lean on him to control the clock late.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Chase Brown Higher Than 74.5 Rushing Yards
Rico Dowdle H/L Than 2.5 Receptions
Let’s stick with running backs but shift our focus to a player’s impact in the passing game.
Since Cooper Rush took over at quarterback in Week 9, Rico Dowdle has been a consistent target out of the backfield. Over that span, he’s been targeted 20 times, catching 16 passes for 64 yards – an average of over three receptions on four targets per game.
The Bengals have struggled to contain running backs in the passing game, allowing more than four receptions per contest. Stokastic’s NFL DFS projections have Dowdle catching three balls for 20 receiving yards in tonight’s game. Look for Rush to rely on Dowdle as a steady check-down option in this matchup.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Rico Dowdle Higher Than 2.5 Receptions
