The Minnesota Vikings will take on the New York Jets this Sunday from London. The only thing better than wall-to-wall football kicking off in the morning is wall-to-wall football kicking off in the morning when you have action on it. While you’re here, make sure to check out our guides to NFL player prop betting or anytime touchdown betting to improve your process. Now, let’s dive into our Vikings-Jets player prop pick and anytime touchdown bet for Thursday Night Football, including a player prop pick for Aaron Jones.
Vikings-Jets Player Prop Pick for Jonathan Greenard
I said this on Thursday, but we were 29-25 (+8.9U) on our NFL bets via The Profit Isaiah heading into last Sunday — then the wheels fell off. We’re now at 34-36 (+3.7U), which is respectable, but we can (and will) do better. The bounce-back surge starts with Sunday’s Vikings-Jets NFL London Game, and, more specifically, a Jonathan Greenard player prop.
We want Greenard to get a sack. He has been an absolute monster in Brian Flores’ blitz-heavy scheme, racking up the fourth-most pressures (sacks plus knockdowns plus hurries) in the NFL.
While Greenard only has four actual sacks, the pressures suggest he should have more. He has also blitzed the most times of all NFL players through Week 4 with 39. If anyone on Minnesota’s roster gets to Aaron Rodgers, it’ll be Greenard.
Meanwhile, New York’s offensive line is without right tackle Morgan Moses, leaving them with backup tackle Olu Fashanu (45.3 PFF Grade) to protect Rodgers’ right side. That’s a matchup Flores will exploit early and often, likely to Greenard’s benefit.
It’s important to pay attention to the house rules when betting on sacks since, unlike most NFL stats, you can get a half sack. At FanDuel, a bet on a player to get a sack will pay out even in the case of a half sack. With the over 0.25 priced at -125 on DraftKings, lock this one in for -114 at FanDuel.
Vikings-Jets Player Prop Pick: Jonathan Greenard to Record a Sack -114 at FanDuel
Vikings-Jets Anytime Touchdown Bet for the NFL London Game
There is an easy anytime touchdown pick for Sunday’s Vikings-Jets game: running back Aaron Jones. Jones leads the Vikings in red-zone rushing attempt with 12, clearing next-best Ty Chandler (3). Surprisingly, he also leads the Vikings in red-zone targets with seven, clearing next-best Justin Jefferson (5).
Jones’ heavy red-zone usage through four weeks is a meaningful indicator that Kevin O’Connell trusts him and wants the ball in his hands when the Vikings are close to paydirt. It’s early in the season, but let’s ride this trend in this matchup.
The Jets have a good passing defense but a very shaky rushing defense. They have only given up one score a running back so far, but I believe that’s more noise than signal.
You’ll find Jones’ anytime touchdown scorer odds set to between -120 and +115 at the major sportsbooks. Pinnacle, a sharp offshore, lists him at +109. That means the +115 at FanDuel is absolutely on the card. Targeting pricing disparities like this one makes for a profitable anytime touchdown scorer betting strategy — don’t miss out!
Vikings-Jets Anytime Touchdown Bet: Aaron Jones +115 at FanDuel
