The hype train rolls through Dallas. No matter what’s going on with the Cowboys, Jerry Jones seems to make sure his team is front and center in media discussions. Jones didn’t have to do much this year as Dallas waltzed to an NFC East division crown and Dak Prescott made his case for league MVP. The Cowboys were unstoppable at home this year, making it impossible for any team to walk into Dallas and win. But that’s only one half of the story as Dallas will eventually have to hit the road, something unkind to the Cowboys. Here’s why, despite the Cowboys’ Super Bowl odds sitting at +750 on BetMGM, our Cowboys Super Bowl predictions have Prescott, Jones and the rest of the squad coming up short.
Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Predictions: the Bubble Bursts
Cowboys Super Bowl Odds
Odds via BetMGM
Cowboys Super Bowl Odds: +750
Cowboys NFC Champion Odds: +300
Cowboys Super Bowl Picks and Info
The Cowboys went all out in their regular-season finale against the pitiful Washington Commanders. Mike McCarthy left Dak Prescott and some other starters in to hit personal goals and milestones, as well as placing Prescott in the MVP discussion — more hubris from a football team more recently known for hype than victories.
This is also a team with absolutely zero history to rely on as the last time the Cowboys sniffed a Super Bowl win was 1996.
The funny part about that game was what it took for the Cowboys to actually win: a complete and total meltdown from Steelers quarterback Neil O’Donnell. He threw multiple picks as we assume he thought Cowboys Cornerback Larry Brown played for his team.
Fast forward to this year and Dallas is an 15-2 favorite to win.
Even though the Super Bowl is a neutral site in Las Vegas, even making it there would put Dallas in an unenviable spot of playing away from home.
That potential road game is the top reason why nobody should put their money on the Cowboys to win.
This year’s Super Bowl wouldn’t even be Dallas’ first road game if the Cowboys make it past the Green Bay Packers. They will eventually hit a brick wall in San Francisco. The only way Dallas hosts the NFC Championship game is if the best team in the conference fails to make it.
New users at BetMGM can take advantage of this brand-new BetMGM bonus code to unlock $158 in bonus bets! You’ll receive three bonus bets: two for $50 and one for $58, to use within the promotion period. If you’re already registered at BetMGM, you’ll have to sit this deal out — but we have a litany of other special offers for your betting pleasure both above and below!
Dallas Cowboys Final Super Bowl Prediction
A Cowboys Super Bowl bet is either predicated on Dallas winning in an uncomfortable and losing environment or praying the Niners get tripped up at home. It’s hard to think a 15-2 ticket truly reflects the value of both circumstances happening, especially with how bad Dallas has looked in road games, going just 4-5 on the season. The extra game on the schedule just reinforced the struggles for the Cowboys.
The Niners are better than last year, assuming Dallas even makes it that far.
Prescott and the Cowboys went into the season finale in Washington with a negative point differential on the road. That’s including a 40-0 whopping of the Giants in New Jersey to open the season. From bad losses to poor performances, the Cowboys are a major concern for any bettor taking them on the road
A bet on the Cowboys to win also expects them to either improve or not have to rely on the rushing game. For a team with 12 wins and a division crown, they were middle of the pack in both running and stopping the run. As opponents get better and tougher, the reliance on the run becomes more important. Tony Pollard struggled to find consistent footing without Ezekiel Elliott this year, and the Dallas defense was susceptible to some big plays on the ground.
A team could walk into Dallas and steadily run the football while scoring, keeping the Cowboys’ offense cooled on the sidelines. The San Francisco 49ers could pull that off, too. If this game does end up happening in San Francisco, it could devolve into a rematch of last year’s game in which Prescott was held under wraps, needing 37 attempts to barely clear 200 passing yards.
OddsShopper’s NFL Tools & Tips
Looking for more NFL predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NFL season — make sure to check out the rest of our NFL articles, including our power rankings and division previews. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets!
