The once-underdog Panthers are just one game away from the Western Conference Finals, up 3-0 on Auston Matthews and the Maple Leafs. With the star power vast and the stakes high, let’s take a look at the best Maple Leafs-Panthers NHL bets and find where the value is in this potential sweep spot.
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Best Maple Leafs-Panthers Bet: Aaron Ekblad Deferring
Though Florida is absolutely rolling right now, OddsShopper loves this spot to play the under on Aaron Ekblad’s shots on goal. Ekblad was a highly productive defenseman in the regular season, but even so, 2.5 shots on goal is a pretty high number for a blue liner who has taken a step back. Ekblad has only hit the over in two of nine games this postseason, and even though he averaged north of three shots on goal per game in the regular season, the Panthers’ production has come more from their high-end forwards and second-pair defenseman Brandon Montour.
Now, Ekblad can go off at any moment — he had 19 games with at least five shots on goal this season. That said, OddsShopper has the under on 2.5 shots on goal as far and away the best player prop on the two-game slate, giving it a 6% expected ROI and a 5.05% osBet percentage (recommended bank roll allocation). That latter number is more than double any other NHL player prop tonight. In other words, at -122 odds and with a 58% expected win rate, OddsShopper‘s model gives this bet over twice as bettable long term as any play today.
The best odds for the under come from BetRivers, as PointsBet is slightly worse at -125 and DraftKings and FanDuel have it north of -130. Check out the odds compare tool at OddsShopper to find even more leverage points across the market!
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Best Maple Leafs-Panthers NHL Bet: Aaron Ekblad Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-122, BetRivers)
