The Toronto Maple Leafs are falling victim to the Florida Panthers just like the Boston Bruins did. Down 2-0, and with star centerman John Tavares struggling to produce, the Leafs need something from him lest they fall to an insurmountable 3-0 deficit. Does OddsShopper believe he’s going to get there? Let’s dive into the best Maple Leafs-Panthers NHL bet and see how to bet this John Tavares situation.
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Best Maple Leafs-Panthers Bet: John Tavares Not Producing
It is not a great deal of fun to play an under on a goals prop, but Tavares under 0.5 is the top play of the slate pretty much across the board. It has a 66% win expectancy — comfortably the highest among +EV plays — and its osBet percentage (OddsShopper’s recommended bankroll allocation) is 4.64%, which is more than double that of any other prop today.
Getting -176 odds for a player to not score a goal is pretty favorable, and that is pushing the expected ROI to 4%. After all, Tavares has only scored a goal in two of his eight games this postseason. Yes, he is averaging a goal every other game in the playoffs, but that mark is getting pumped up by his hat trick against the Lightning 2 1/2 weeks ago. He has not even recorded a point in either of Toronto’s losses to Florida this series, and while some could argue Tavares is due for positive regression given his 36 goals during the regular season, he still averaged less than one a game.
The slate-high total of 6.5 for this game is a little disconcerting, but OddsShopper is still loving this spot to short Tavares. A few other spots today have higher projected ROIs, but none even come close to the win rate of this one, so that is why Tavares under 0.5 goals tops the list of recommended NHL player props today. Check out the odds compare tool at OddsShopper to find even more leverage points across the market!
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Best Maple Leafs-Panthers NHL Bet: John Tavares Under 0.5 Goals (-176, FanDuel)
