With a ton of hockey on tap today, let’s get right into the top spots to exploit in the hockey betting markets. We’ll dive into my top NHL player prop picks and anytime goalscorer bets for today’s action, including a pick directly from our NHL betting model for William Nylander. If you’re hungry for more, check out our NHL betting tools or our other NHL articles! Also, check out our guide about how to bet on NHL player props.
NHL Player Prop & Anytime Goalscorer Bets Today: Saturday, April 13
NHL Player Prop Bet Today: William Nylander
It’s a loaded slate of NHL action today (and we’ve even got the NCAA men’s ice hockey national championship), so be sure to get some action down across the board. DraftKings is even running a 33% profit boost promotion for parlays on both sports, so if you haven’t signed up there yet, make sure to do so. The NHL player prop with the most positive expected value (+EV) is also available at their site — we’re fading William Nylander in the assist column.
Nylander has recorded a whopping 56 assists in 40 games this year, but due to the volume of multi-assist games, he has only notched an assist in 43 of his 79 appearances (54%). Further, his production has dwindled down the stretch — he has just six assists since March 1. Nylander has stayed under this line in all but five of his last 20 appearances.
But our NHL betting model doesn’t care about averages or projections — it uses the books to beat the books. This William Nylander under renders as a +EV bet at DraftKings due to the odds disparity between that book, where the under 0.5 is +130 and Pinnacle, a sharp book, where it’s trading for only +103. Most other public books with the 1.5 are charging +145 or shorter for it. If you’re wondering how the model works, read our guide to using +EV betting tools.
Bets like this one, over a large enough sample size, can dramatically transform your bankroll just as they transformed mine! From the start of the NBA season to the All-Star Break, our model recorded an ROI of 8.6% on all NBA player prop bets wagered 12 hours before tip — and 5% on all props wagered two hours before tip.
NHL Player Prop Pick Today: William Nylander Under 0.5 Assists +130 at DraftKings
For the best price currently available, check out our William Nylander assists live odds page!
NHL Anytime Goalscorer Pick Today: Anze Kopitar
The Anaheim Ducks lead the NHL in penalty minutes per game (13.8) and rank second-last in penalty kill rate (72.5%). That’s a recipe for disaster, as they have coughed up an NHL-high 89 power-play goals this season, 23 more than the next-worst Minnesota Wild. That’s the same gap as the one between Minnesota and the NHL-best Seattle Kraken.
It’s generally a sharp idea to bet on any member of the top power-play unit to score against Anaheim, especially now that their season is nearing its inevitable conclusion. They’ve got the playoff-bound Los Angeles Kings on tap tonight, which means we’re backing the L.A. center on the top power-play unit, Anze Kopitar.
Kopitar has only scored in 23 of his 79 games this season, and he failed to put the puck in the net in each of his last five games, but we’re backing him to get right in this spot. We’re getting him at anytime goalscorer odds of +210 at DraftKings, which is too good of a deal to pass up.
NHL Anytime Goalscorer Pick Today: Anze Kopitar +210 at DraftKings
For the best price currently available, check out our Anze Kopitar anytime goalscorer live odds page!
OddsShopper’s NHL Tools & Tips
Looking for more 2023-24 NHL predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NHL season — make sure to check out the rest of our NHL articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.
