The Arnold Palmer Invitational is next up for the PGA Tour, and despite not being a huge tournament, this is a key event in the One and Done season. After last week’s Honda, which featured a relatively weak field, the PGA Tour gets back to business with almost all the best golfers in attendance. The purse is elevated, so this is a great opportunity to move up the One and Done standings. Let’s dive into One and Done targets for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Targets
It does not get much safer than Rory McIlroy at Bay Hill, as he has shown this is a place he loves. Former winners who are consistently in contention have to be respected as one of the favorites. Lately McIlroy hasn’t been threatening the first page of the board, but that is mostly due to a cold putter out west. Now he goes to Bermuda, which is his preferred surface, and a course he can take apart. The weather is a potential issue, but if not saving McIlroy, there is no reason not to consider deploying him here.
Speaking of wind and weather, who better to play if it gets really nasty then Shane Lowry? He is a British Open champion who loves difficult conditions and was one of the few players to tee it up at Honda last week. The fifth place — thanks to over 10 strokes gained tee to green — is a good sign heading into the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Lowry has struggled at this event during his career, but most of that has been due to ice-cold putting. If he can find a way to flip that or just bring his ball striking from last week, he can absolutely get in the mix. Lowry works both at 60-1 in the outright market and as a low-owned One and Done pick.
Ben Rasa’s One and Done Pick: Collin Morikawa
There are a plenty of big-name options to use in this field. Collin Morikawa’s ball striking is always world class, but he needs to find some success on Bermuda. He is a California guy, and with that it comes some difficulties getting comfortable in Florida. He was fantastic at the Genesis, gaining across the board, so the form is there. Morikawa gained over 10 strokes with the irons at his last appearance at Bay Hill but lost nearly six strokes with his short game en route to a ninth-place finish. That was back in 2020, and Morikawa has only improved since then. Although it would be nice to have him for a major, he can still provide a seven-figure payday here.
