On Monday morning, two more teams will advance to the Women’s World Cup quarterfinals. In the first match of the day, England — who is now the tournament favorite at +300 — faces its first knockout test against 40th-ranked Nigeria. Nigeria is unbeaten Down Under and clinched its ticket to the knockouts with a victory over Australia; meanwhile, England is one of three teams yet to lose a game. In the other match, tournament host Australia faces two-win Denmark. With Sam Kerr back in the mix for Australia, it will be looking to make noise and garner some attention of its own. Continue reading for the best Women’s World Cup bets for England-Nigeria and Australia-Denmark and the latest Women’s World Cup odds.
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Women’s World Cup Odds: England-Nigeria Odds
England Moneyline | -380 |
Nigeria Moneyline | +900 |
Draw Moneyline | +450 |
Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals | Over: -110, Under: -115 |
Location | Suncorp Stadium, Milton, Australia |
Time | 3:30 a.m. ET |
TV | FOX/Telemundo |
Best England-Nigeria Picks
England is the obvious favorite here, with -380 moneyline odds and a corresponding implied win probability of 79.2%. With two 1-0 victories and a 6-1 romping of China, it has left Lioness fans and spectators around the globe impressed. Moreover, standout performances from Lauren James and Rachel Daly have only added to the hype the Euro champions are getting.
What is most impressive about the job Sarina Wiegman is doing is that she is doing it without Beth Mead and Leah Williamson. Players are stepping up and having to play in different roles as well, with tactical changes at the ready. As was the case in the China match, Wiegman is tactically fluid, changing to a back three and leaving AFC opponents in the dust.
While Nigeria is super impressive defensively, having only conceded two goals so far, England’s flexibility will be a challenge. If England wants to all of a sudden make James the focal point of the attack or push Lucy Bronze further up the wing, it can do so almost seamlessly. For a team playing in its third ever knockout match at the Women’s World Cup, the inexperience will show here.
Remember, England is not Australia or Canada; it is a defined team full of players who are already more than proven with hardware and accolades. It is also outperforming both its expected goals for and against, which is a great sign in terms of its actual form.
From a betting angle here, the England win and under 2.5 total goals offers +180 odds as a parlay. England should wrap this up in regular time while holding a clean sheet in the process. Outside of the China match, it was held to two 1-0 victories, and the Nigeria defense deserves credit here. It should be able to hold the Lionesses to a respectable goal tally.
Final England-Nigeria Picks: England Win + Under 2.5 Goals (+180, DraftKings)
Women’s World Cup Odds: Australia-Denmark Odds
Australia Moneyline | -115 |
Denmark Moneyline | +340 |
Draw Moneyline | +220 |
Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals | Over: +140, Under: -175 |
Location | Stadium Australia, Sydney, Australia |
Time | 6:30 a.m. ET |
TV | FOX/Telemundo |
Best Australia-Denmark Picks
Australia has guts and put it all on the line in what essentially was an elimination match against Canada on the final day. Not only did it win, but it won in triumphant fashion, beating Canada by four goals. Canada hardly had a sniff at goal, putting three shots on target and recording a measly 0.6. expected goals.
Australia did all of this without even using Sam Kerr too. At this point, Kerr is probably itching to get out on the pitch and make a difference for her country. While it seems undecided if she will be starting or coming off the bench again, she should have some impact in this match, especially if it comes down to the wire. Even if she does not play, Mary Fowler, Hayley Raso and Steph Catley can hold down the fort quite well. Australia also plays with flexible formations under the leadership of Tony Gustavsson, so it will be intriguing to see how he approaches this contest.
Additionally, these teams played just a year ago, offering a glimpse of what Monday could look like. Australia won that match by a score of 3-1, outshooting its opponents 16-7 and holding 50% of possession. Against England, who is on a similar level to Australia, Denmark only retained 30% of possession, which is another takeaway for current form.
All in all, the straight Australia moneyline is the play for this match. On top of that, the Australia clean sheet looks good at +120; it has four clean sheets in five games against England, France and Canada, which is very impressive.
Final Best Australia-Denmark Picks: Australia Moneyline (-115, DraftKings)
Australia Clean Sheet (+120, DraftKings)