At this time last year Matteo Berrettini was one of the hottest names in Tennis. He reached a career high ranking of #6 in the world in January of 2022, in a run that included a Wimbledon runner-up in 2021. Injury issues and general problems have since derailed Berrettini. He now sits at 38th heading into Wimbledon, where he’ll be an underdog to Lorenzo Sonego in Round 1 on Tuesday. The fellow Italian Sonego will look to keep Berrettini from rising back up the rankings. Let’s take a look at the Berrettini-Sonego odds to find the best Wimbledon tennis bet.
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Best Wimbledon Bet: Matteo Berrettini-Lorenzo Sonego
Berrettini-Sonego Tennis Odds
Via, BetRivers Sportsbook
Matteo Berrettini: +115 | Lorenzo Sonego: -195
Over 41.5 Games: -108 | Under 41.5: -118
It might be hard for Tennis bettors and fans to imagine Matteo Berrettini as an underdog in Round 1 of Wimbledon. He enters his match with Lorenzo Sonego at +115 to win. Berrettini once looked like he was rising to super stardom, especially at Wimbledon. He reached the final match of the 2021 event, losing to Novak Djokovic for the title. He continued to play well on tour, but has had a collapse over the past year due to lingering injuries.
Despite the difficult stretch for Berrettini, he is still 27-years old and has ample opportunity to turn things around. However, Sonego will have something to say about that. He is coming off a strong clay season that culminated in a Fourth Round finish at the French Open. His stretch on grass since Roland Garros has been mixed, but he possesses a solid all-around game that should translate to Wimbledon. Sonego is ranked 42nd in the world, four spots behind Berrettini (38th).
The best Berrettini-Sonego tennis bet available is an alternative spread line at BetRivers. You can buy Berrettini -2.5 sets for +750, which may be a longshot, but holds significant positive expected value. The bet has true odds of +705, giving it a 6% edge. Given that this Wimbledon bet connects about 12% of the time, you’ll want to stake about .5% of your bank roll using the Kelly Criterion for sustainable bank roll management. If Berrettini re-finds his form, watch out!
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